Viborg FF – AC Horsens odds
Viborg FF went into the match as heavy favourites against AC Horsens.
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Viborg FF – AC Horsens: closing odds analysis
- Viborg FF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 61% chance of a home win, 18% for AC Horsens and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Viborg FF 1.63 at Merkur Bets, the draw 4.69 at ComeOn, AC Horsens 5.61 at ComeOn.
- ComeOn had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Viborg FF drifted from 1.50 at the opening to 1.63 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Viborg FF or AC Horsens?
Viborg FF, by a distance: the closing odds put 42.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Viborg FF – AC Horsens?
It depended on the outcome: Merkur Bets was best on Viborg FF, ComeOn on the draw and ComeOn on AC Horsens. Across all three outcomes ComeOn paid out the most (98.0%) and Betmaster the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | VIBORG FF | DRAW | AC HORSENS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ComeOn | 1.59 | 4.69 best price | 5.61 best price | 98.0% |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 4.50 | 5.40 | 96.9% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.63 best price | 4.50 | 5.00 | 96.4% |
| VBET | 1.56 | 4.50 | 5.60 | 96.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.60 | 4.25 | 5.50 | 96.0% |
| Spilhuset | 1.57 | 4.50 | 5.40 | 95.8% |
| Oddset | 1.56 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 95.7% |
| Casino House | 1.57 | 4.33 | 5.50 | 95.3% |
| Expekt | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.40 | 95.0% |
| LeoVegas | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.40 | 95.0% |
| Stake | 1.54 | 4.50 | 5.40 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 1.57 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 94.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.53 | 4.51 | 5.40 | 94.3% |
| Casinostuen | 1.53 | 4.51 | 5.40 | 94.3% |
| Betoro | 1.54 | 4.25 | 5.33 | 93.3% |
| bet365 | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 93.2% |
| SpreadEx | 1.54 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 93.1% |
| Betinia | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.33 | 92.7% |
| CampoBet | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.33 | 92.7% |
| Bet25 | 1.50 | 4.60 | 4.90 | 91.9% |
| 888sport | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 91.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.53 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 91.6% |
| Betmaster | 1.53 | 4.10 | 4.90 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.63 | 4.69 | 5.61 | 99.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.50–1.63 · 8.3% | 4.10–4.69 · 14.4% | 4.90–5.61 · 14.5% | 90.8–98.0% |
How did the Viborg FF – AC Horsens odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Viborg FF drifted from 1.50 when odds opened on 25 Oct to 1.63 at kick-off, a 8.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VIBORG FF | DRAW | AC HORSENS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct (open) | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.80 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 1.56 | 4.75 | 6.10 |
| Sun 1 Nov (kick-off) | 1.63 | 4.69 | 5.61 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 59.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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