Racing Santander – Real Madrid odds
Real Madrid went into the match as heavy favourites against Racing Santander.
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Racing Santander – Real Madrid: closing odds analysis
- Real Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 78% chance of an away win, 9% for Racing Santander and 13% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Racing Santander 12.00 at VBET, the draw 8.50 at bet365, Real Madrid 1.25 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Racing Santander drifted from 9.00 at the opening to 12.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 76% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Racing Santander or Real Madrid?
Real Madrid, by a distance: the closing odds put 69.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Racing Santander – Real Madrid?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Racing Santander, bet365 on the draw and bwin on Real Madrid. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.4%) and Bet25 the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | RACING SANTANDER | DRAW | REAL MADRID | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 11.75 | 7.40 | 1.24 | 97.4% |
| VBET | 12.00 best price | 8.30 | 1.20 | 96.4% |
| Merkur Bets | 11.00 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 95.9% |
| Spilhuset | 12.00 best price | 7.90 | 1.20 | 95.9% |
| Oddset | 10.50 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 95.4% |
| bwin | 9.00 | 7.25 | 1.25 best price | 95.3% |
| Stake | 11.00 | 8.00 | 1.20 | 95.3% |
| Unibet | 12.00 best price | 7.50 | 1.20 | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 10.90 | 7.92 | 1.20 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 9.50 | 7.50 | 1.23 | 95.1% |
| Expekt | 10.00 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 95.1% |
| LeoVegas | 10.00 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 10.00 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 10.00 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 10.00 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 10.00 | 7.50 | 1.22 | 95.0% |
| bet365 | 11.00 | 8.50 best price | 1.18 | 94.7% |
| SpreadEx | 11.00 | 7.50 | 1.20 | 94.6% |
| GetLucky | 10.79 | 7.85 | 1.19 | 94.3% |
| Casinostuen | 10.79 | 7.85 | 1.19 | 94.3% |
| 888sport | 9.50 | 7.00 | 1.22 | 93.7% |
| Mr Green | 9.50 | 7.00 | 1.22 | 93.7% |
| Betmaster | 9.40 | 7.00 | 1.22 | 93.6% |
| Bet25 | 7.80 | 7.00 | 1.19 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 12.00 | 8.50 | 1.25 | 99.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 7.80–12.00 · 53.8% | 7.00–8.50 · 21.4% | 1.18–1.25 · 5.9% | 90.0–97.4% |
How did the Racing Santander – Real Madrid odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Racing Santander drifted from 9.00 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 12.00 at kick-off, a 33.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RACING SANTANDER | DRAW | REAL MADRID |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 9.00 | 7.00 | 1.30 |
| Mon 26 Oct | 9.50 | 7.30 | 1.30 |
| Sun 1 Nov (kick-off) | 12.00 | 8.50 | 1.25 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 59.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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