Paris FC – Monaco odds
Paris FC went into the match as narrow favourites against Monaco.
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Paris FC – Monaco: closing odds analysis
- Paris FC were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 34% for Monaco and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Paris FC 2.51 at VBET, the draw 3.55 at Stake, Monaco 2.85 at Stake.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Paris FC drifted from 2.35 at the opening to 2.51 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Paris FC or Monaco?
Paris FC, but only just: the closing odds put 4.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Paris FC – Monaco?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Paris FC, Stake on the draw and Stake on Monaco. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (95.6%) and Bet25 the least (91.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | PARIS FC | DRAW | MONACO | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.42 | 3.55 best price | 2.85 best price | 95.6% |
| bet365 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 2.51 best price | 3.38 | 2.81 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.46 | 3.55 best price | 2.75 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 94.6% |
| SpreadEx | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 94.6% |
| ComeOn | 2.45 | 3.52 | 2.72 | 94.3% |
| GetLucky | 2.42 | 3.48 | 2.70 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 2.42 | 3.48 | 2.70 | 93.4% |
| Betmaster | 2.44 | 3.35 | 2.75 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.62 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.62 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 91.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.51 | 3.55 | 2.85 | 97.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.35–2.51 · 6.8% | 3.35–3.55 · 6.0% | 2.60–2.85 · 9.6% | 91.3–95.6% |
How did the Paris FC – Monaco odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Paris FC drifted from 2.35 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 2.51 at kick-off, a 6.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PARIS FC | DRAW | MONACO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.93 |
| Sun 25 Oct | 2.28 | 3.70 | 3.06 |
| Sun 1 Nov (kick-off) | 2.51 | 3.55 | 2.85 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 57.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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