Liverpool – Arsenal odds
Arsenal went into the match as narrow favourites against Liverpool.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Liverpool – Arsenal: closing odds analysis
- Arsenal were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 34% for Liverpool and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Liverpool 3.18 at Spilhuset, the draw 3.60 at Stake, Arsenal 2.55 at Betano.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Arsenal drifted from 2.15 at the opening to 2.55 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Liverpool or Arsenal?
Arsenal, but only just: the closing odds put 5.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Liverpool – Arsenal?
It depended on the outcome: Spilhuset was best on Liverpool, Stake on the draw and Betano on Arsenal. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (98.1%) and Bet25 the least (92.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | LIVERPOOL | DRAW | ARSENAL | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 98.1% |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.55 | 2.55 best price | 97.6% |
| ComeOn | 2.82 | 3.47 | 2.53 | 96.3% |
| VBET | 2.90 | 3.51 | 2.44 | 96.2% |
| Spilhuset | 3.18 best price | 3.41 | 2.29 | 95.7% |
| Betmaster | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.55 best price | 95.6% |
| Merkur Bets | 2.90 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 95.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.80 | 3.43 | 2.50 | 95.4% |
| Casinostuen | 2.80 | 3.43 | 2.50 | 95.4% |
| Stake | 2.85 | 3.60 best price | 2.37 | 95.2% |
| bet365 | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.54 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.50 | 94.9% |
| Expekt | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 94.9% |
| LeoVegas | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 94.9% |
| bwin | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.38 | 94.3% |
| 888sport | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 93.0% |
| Mr Green | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.45 | 93.0% |
| Bet25 | 2.65 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 92.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.18 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 101.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.65–3.18 · 20.0% | 3.30–3.60 · 9.1% | 2.29–2.55 · 11.4% | 92.6–98.1% |
How did the Liverpool – Arsenal odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Arsenal drifted from 2.15 when odds opened on 18 Oct to 2.55 at kick-off, a 18.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LIVERPOOL | DRAW | ARSENAL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 18 Oct (open) | 3.35 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| Mon 26 Oct | 3.15 | 3.75 | 2.27 |
| Sun 1 Nov (kick-off) | 3.18 | 3.60 | 2.55 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 60.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Premier League odds
- Man City – FulhamSat 21 Nov · 13:30
- Aston Villa – SunderlandSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Bournemouth – Nottingham ForestSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Chelsea – LeedsSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Coventry – Crystal PalaceSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Tottenham – IpswichSat 21 Nov · 16:00
- Newcastle – ArsenalSat 21 Nov · 18:30
- Hull – BrightonSun 22 Nov · 15:00
- Liverpool – Man UtdSun 22 Nov · 17:30
- Brentford – EvertonMon 23 Nov · 21:00
- Premier League odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.