Getafe – Sevilla odds
Sevilla went into the match as clear favourites against Getafe.
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Getafe – Sevilla: closing odds analysis
- Sevilla were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of an away win, 28% for Getafe and 32% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Getafe 3.71 at VBET, the draw 3.12 at ComeOn, Sevilla 2.45 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Getafe drifted from 2.82 at the opening to 3.71 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 37% chance of three or more goals and 45% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Getafe or Sevilla?
Sevilla, clearly: the closing odds put 12.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Getafe – Sevilla?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Getafe, ComeOn on the draw and Betano on Sevilla. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.9%) and Mr Green the least (92.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | GETAFE | DRAW | SEVILLA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.05 | 2.45 best price | 97.9% |
| Merkur Bets | 3.50 | 3.05 | 2.38 | 96.7% |
| Spilhuset | 3.45 | 2.97 | 2.39 | 95.7% |
| VBET | 3.71 best price | 2.90 | 2.30 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 3.55 | 3.05 | 2.27 | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 3.37 | 3.12 best price | 2.31 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.42 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.42 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.42 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.42 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.42 | 95.0% |
| Expekt | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.35 | 95.0% |
| LeoVegas | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.35 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.41 | 94.7% |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 94.6% |
| GetLucky | 3.34 | 3.09 | 2.29 | 94.4% |
| Casinostuen | 3.34 | 3.09 | 2.29 | 94.4% |
| bet365 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.35 | 93.9% |
| SpreadEx | 3.50 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 93.9% |
| Betmaster | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.40 | 93.1% |
| Bet25 | 3.15 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 92.1% |
| 888sport | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 92.0% |
| Mr Green | 3.25 | 2.90 | 2.30 | 92.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.71 | 3.12 | 2.45 | 100.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.15–3.71 · 17.8% | 2.90–3.12 · 7.6% | 2.25–2.45 · 8.9% | 92.0–97.9% |
How did the Getafe – Sevilla odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Getafe drifted from 2.82 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 3.71 at kick-off, a 31.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | GETAFE | DRAW | SEVILLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 2.82 | 3.00 | 2.77 |
| Mon 26 Oct | 3.15 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Sun 1 Nov (kick-off) | 3.71 | 3.12 | 2.45 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 45.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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