Como – Venezia odds
Como went into the match as heavy favourites against Venezia.
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Como – Venezia: closing odds analysis
- Como were favourites: the closing odds implied a 72% chance of a home win, 12% for Venezia and 17% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Como 1.33 at Betinia, the draw 6.25 at bwin, Venezia 10.00 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Venezia drifted from 8.40 at the opening to 10.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Como or Venezia?
Como, by a distance: the closing odds put 60.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Como – Venezia?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Como, bwin on the draw and VBET on Venezia. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.4%) and Bet25 the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | COMO | DRAW | VENEZIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.28 | 6.00 | 10.00 best price | 95.4% |
| bwin | 1.30 | 6.25 best price | 8.25 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 1.33 best price | 5.50 | 8.50 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.33 best price | 5.50 | 8.50 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.33 best price | 5.50 | 8.50 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.33 best price | 5.50 | 8.50 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.33 best price | 5.50 | 8.50 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 1.30 | 6.00 | 8.50 | 94.9% |
| bet365 | 1.30 | 6.00 | 8.50 | 94.9% |
| Oddset | 1.33 best price | 5.75 | 7.75 | 94.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.31 | 5.94 | 7.92 | 94.5% |
| Betmaster | 1.33 best price | 5.60 | 7.40 | 93.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.30 | 5.89 | 7.85 | 93.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.30 | 5.89 | 7.85 | 93.8% |
| 888sport | 1.30 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 92.9% |
| Mr Green | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 91.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.29 | 5.60 | 6.40 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.33 | 6.25 | 10.00 | 98.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.28–1.33 · 3.9% | 5.00–6.25 · 25.0% | 6.40–10.00 · 56.3% | 90.1–95.4% |
How did the Como – Venezia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Venezia drifted from 8.40 when odds opened on 25 Oct to 10.00 at kick-off, a 19.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | COMO | DRAW | VENEZIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct (open) | 1.33 | 6.00 | 8.40 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 1.36 | 6.00 | 8.40 |
| Sun 1 Nov (kick-off) | 1.33 | 6.40 | 10.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 53.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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