Brøndby IF – AGF odds
Brøndby IF went into the match as clear favourites against AGF.
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Brøndby IF – AGF: closing odds analysis
- Brøndby IF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of a home win, 28% for AGF and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brøndby IF 2.11 at ComeOn, the draw 3.90 at Unibet, AGF 3.70 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Brøndby IF drifted from 1.98 at the opening to 2.11 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brøndby IF or AGF?
Brøndby IF, clearly: the closing odds put 18.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brøndby IF – AGF?
It depended on the outcome: ComeOn was best on Brøndby IF, Unibet on the draw and VBET on AGF. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (97.9%) and Bet25 the least (90.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRØNDBY IF | DRAW | AGF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.03 | 3.87 | 3.70 best price | 97.9% |
| ComeOn | 2.11 best price | 3.82 | 3.42 | 97.3% |
| Unibet | 2.04 | 3.90 best price | 3.50 | 96.9% |
| Merkur Bets | 2.09 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 96.5% |
| Casinomoto | 2.08 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 96.3% |
| Spilhuset | 2.00 | 3.76 | 3.60 | 95.8% |
| Casino House | 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.50 | 95.3% |
| Expekt | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.35 | 95.3% |
| LeoVegas | 2.05 | 3.80 | 3.35 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.25 | 95.2% |
| Stake | 1.98 | 3.80 | 3.45 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 2.05 | 3.70 | 3.30 | 94.2% |
| GetLucky | 2.03 | 3.68 | 3.29 | 93.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.03 | 3.68 | 3.29 | 93.6% |
| 888sport | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 93.6% |
| Mr Green | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 93.6% |
| Betoro | 1.96 | 3.75 | 3.40 | 93.4% |
| SpreadEx | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 93.3% |
| bet365 | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 93.3% |
| Betinia | 2.00 | 3.66 | 3.25 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 2.00 | 3.66 | 3.25 | 92.5% |
| Betmaster | 2.01 | 3.45 | 3.15 | 90.5% |
| Bet25 | 1.92 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 90.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.11 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 99.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.92–2.11 · 9.9% | 3.45–3.90 · 13.0% | 3.10–3.70 · 19.4% | 90.4–97.9% |
How did the Brøndby IF – AGF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Brøndby IF drifted from 1.98 when odds opened on 25 Oct to 2.11 at kick-off, a 6.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRØNDBY IF | DRAW | AGF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct (open) | 1.98 | 3.96 | 3.51 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 2.20 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Sun 1 Nov (kick-off) | 2.11 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 63.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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