Aarhus Fremad – Hillerød Fodbold odds
Aarhus Fremad went into the match as clear favourites against Hillerød Fodbold.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Aarhus Fremad – Hillerød Fodbold: closing odds analysis
- Aarhus Fremad were favourites: the closing odds implied a 43% chance of a home win, 30% for Hillerød Fodbold and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Aarhus Fremad 2.21 at Betinia, the draw 3.65 at VBET, Hillerød Fodbold 3.58 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Aarhus Fremad drifted from 1.98 at the opening to 2.21 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Aarhus Fremad or Hillerød Fodbold?
Aarhus Fremad, clearly: the closing odds put 13.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Aarhus Fremad – Hillerød Fodbold?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Aarhus Fremad, VBET on the draw and VBET on Hillerød Fodbold. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.2%) and Mr Green the least (89.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | AARHUS FREMAD | DRAW | HILLERØD FODBOLD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.01 | 3.65 best price | 3.58 best price | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 94.5% |
| Betinia | 2.21 best price | 3.54 | 3.08 | 94.4% |
| CampoBet | 2.21 best price | 3.54 | 3.08 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 2.21 best price | 3.54 | 3.08 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 2.21 best price | 3.54 | 3.08 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 2.12 | 3.40 | 3.33 | 93.8% |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.05 | 93.6% |
| SpreadEx | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 93.2% |
| Bet25 | 2.13 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 92.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.15 | 3.47 | 3.07 | 92.7% |
| Stake | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 92.0% |
| GetLucky | 2.13 | 3.44 | 3.04 | 91.8% |
| Casinostuen | 2.13 | 3.44 | 3.04 | 91.8% |
| bwin | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 90.4% |
| Betmaster | 2.13 | 3.30 | 2.95 | 90.0% |
| 888sport | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 89.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 89.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.21 | 3.65 | 3.58 | 99.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.00–2.21 · 10.5% | 3.10–3.65 · 17.7% | 2.95–3.58 · 21.4% | 89.2–95.2% |
How did the Aarhus Fremad – Hillerød Fodbold odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Aarhus Fremad drifted from 1.98 when odds opened on 25 Oct to 2.21 at kick-off, a 11.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | AARHUS FREMAD | DRAW | HILLERØD FODBOLD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct (open) | 1.98 | 3.37 | 3.27 |
| Thu 29 Oct | 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.50 |
| Sun 1 Nov (kick-off) | 2.21 | 3.65 | 3.58 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 56.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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