Wolves – Cardiff City odds
Wolves went into the match as heavy favourites against Cardiff City.
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Wolves – Cardiff City: closing odds analysis
- Wolves were favourites: the closing odds implied a 59% chance of a home win, 19% for Cardiff City and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Wolves 1.64 at Betinia, the draw 4.70 at Stake, Cardiff City 5.20 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 4.40 at the opening to 4.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Wolves or Cardiff City?
Wolves, by a distance: the closing odds put 40.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Wolves – Cardiff City?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Wolves, Stake on the draw and Stake on Cardiff City. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | WOLVES | DRAW | CARDIFF CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.45 | 5.00 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 1.59 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.64 best price | 4.33 | 4.75 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.64 best price | 4.33 | 4.75 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.64 best price | 4.33 | 4.75 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.64 best price | 4.33 | 4.75 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 1.53 | 4.70 best price | 5.20 best price | 94.5% |
| SpreadEx | 1.57 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 94.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.75 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.55 | 4.56 | 4.95 | 93.8% |
| bwin | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.53 | 4.51 | 4.91 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.53 | 4.51 | 4.91 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.80 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 1.57 | 4.20 | 4.80 | 92.3% |
| VBET | 1.51 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 1.54 | 4.20 | 4.60 | 90.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.64 | 4.70 | 5.20 | 98.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.51–1.64 · 8.6% | 4.20–4.70 · 11.9% | 4.60–5.20 · 13.0% | 90.5–95.3% |
How did the Wolves – Cardiff City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 4.40 when odds opened on 24 Oct to 4.70 at kick-off, a 6.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WOLVES | DRAW | CARDIFF CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct (open) | 1.60 | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 1.65 | 4.33 | 4.70 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 1.64 | 4.70 | 5.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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