West Ham – West Bromwich Albion odds
West Ham went into the match as heavy favourites against West Bromwich Albion.
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West Ham – West Bromwich Albion: closing odds analysis
- West Ham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 54% chance of a home win, 22% for West Bromwich Albion and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: West Ham 1.82 at Stake, the draw 3.86 at ComeOn, West Bromwich Albion 4.75 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on West Ham drifted from 1.55 at the opening to 1.82 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 55% chance of three or more goals and 57% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, West Ham or West Bromwich Albion?
West Ham, by a distance: the closing odds put 32.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on West Ham – West Bromwich Albion?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on West Ham, ComeOn on the draw and Betinia on West Bromwich Albion. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.3%) and Betmaster the least (90.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | WEST HAM | DRAW | WEST BROMWICH ALBION | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.85 | 4.40 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Stake | 1.82 best price | 3.85 | 4.00 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.75 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 93.9% |
| Casinomoto | 1.72 | 3.80 | 4.50 | 93.7% |
| bwin | 1.80 | 3.80 | 4.00 | 93.6% |
| ComeOn | 1.72 | 3.86 best price | 4.36 | 93.5% |
| GetLucky | 1.71 | 3.83 | 4.32 | 92.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.71 | 3.83 | 4.32 | 92.8% |
| 888sport | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 91.0% |
| Mr Green | 1.75 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 91.0% |
| VBET | 1.74 | 3.64 | 4.00 | 91.0% |
| Betmaster | 1.72 | 3.60 | 4.10 | 90.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.82 | 3.86 | 4.75 | 98.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.71–1.82 · 6.4% | 3.60–3.86 · 7.2% | 4.00–4.75 · 18.8% | 90.7–95.3% |
How did the West Ham – West Bromwich Albion odds move before kick-off?
The best price on West Ham drifted from 1.55 when odds opened on 24 Oct to 1.82 at kick-off, a 17.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WEST HAM | DRAW | WEST BROMWICH ALBION |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct (open) | 1.55 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 1.60 | 4.40 | 5.50 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 1.82 | 3.86 | 4.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 57.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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