Tottenham – Crystal Palace odds
Tottenham went into the match as heavy favourites against Crystal Palace.
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Tottenham – Crystal Palace: closing odds analysis
- Tottenham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 57% chance of a home win, 19% for Crystal Palace and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Tottenham 1.72 at Betano, the draw 4.26 at ComeOn, Crystal Palace 5.25 at Unibet.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Crystal Palace drifted from 4.80 at the opening to 5.25 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 56% chance of three or more goals and 55% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Tottenham or Crystal Palace?
Tottenham, by a distance: the closing odds put 37.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Tottenham – Crystal Palace?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Tottenham, ComeOn on the draw and Unibet on Crystal Palace. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.8%) and Bet25 the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | TOTTENHAM | DRAW | CRYSTAL PALACE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.72 best price | 4.15 | 5.00 | 97.8% |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 4.10 | 5.25 best price | 97.1% |
| ComeOn | 1.64 | 4.26 best price | 5.15 | 96.3% |
| VBET | 1.65 | 4.10 | 5.20 | 95.9% |
| Spilhuset | 1.66 | 4.10 | 5.10 | 95.9% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.71 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.63 | 4.22 | 5.10 | 95.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.63 | 4.22 | 5.10 | 95.6% |
| Expekt | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.90 | 95.4% |
| LeoVegas | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.90 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.4% |
| Betoro | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 95.4% |
| Stake | 1.63 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 95.0% |
| bet365 | 1.66 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 95.0% |
| bwin | 1.65 | 4.10 | 4.80 | 94.5% |
| Betmaster | 1.66 | 3.85 | 4.80 | 93.4% |
| 888sport | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 93.2% |
| Mr Green | 1.65 | 3.90 | 4.75 | 93.2% |
| Bet25 | 1.58 | 3.95 | 4.70 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.72 | 4.26 | 5.25 | 99.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.58–1.72 · 8.9% | 3.85–4.26 · 10.6% | 4.70–5.25 · 11.7% | 91.0–97.8% |
How did the Tottenham – Crystal Palace odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Crystal Palace drifted from 4.80 when odds opened on 18 Oct to 5.25 at kick-off, a 9.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | TOTTENHAM | DRAW | CRYSTAL PALACE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 18 Oct (open) | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| Sun 25 Oct | 1.67 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 1.72 | 4.26 | 5.25 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 55.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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