Stoke City – Preston odds
Stoke City went into the match as heavy favourites against Preston.
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Stoke City – Preston: closing odds analysis
- Stoke City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 53% chance of a home win, 22% for Preston and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Stoke City 1.81 at Betinia, the draw 3.80 at bwin, Preston 4.80 at Stake.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Preston drifted from 4.30 at the opening to 4.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Stoke City or Preston?
Stoke City, by a distance: the closing odds put 31.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Stoke City – Preston?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Stoke City, bwin on the draw and Stake on Preston. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.2%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | STOKE CITY | DRAW | PRESTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 1.81 best price | 3.75 | 4.33 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.81 best price | 3.75 | 4.33 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 1.81 best price | 3.75 | 4.33 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.81 best price | 3.75 | 4.33 | 95.2% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.35 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.25 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 1.70 | 3.80 best price | 4.75 | 94.2% |
| Stake | 1.69 | 3.80 best price | 4.80 best price | 94.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.80 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 94.0% |
| SpreadEx | 1.75 | 3.80 best price | 4.33 | 93.9% |
| ComeOn | 1.75 | 3.71 | 4.36 | 93.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.76 | 3.80 best price | 4.10 | 93.0% |
| GetLucky | 1.74 | 3.68 | 4.32 | 92.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.74 | 3.68 | 4.32 | 92.8% |
| 888sport | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 91.3% |
| Mr Green | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 91.3% |
| VBET | 1.66 | 3.63 | 4.50 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 1.75 | 3.45 | 4.00 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.81 | 3.80 | 4.80 | 97.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.66–1.81 · 9.0% | 3.45–3.80 · 10.1% | 4.00–4.80 · 20.0% | 90.0–95.2% |
How did the Stoke City – Preston odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Preston drifted from 4.30 when odds opened on 24 Oct to 4.80 at kick-off, a 11.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | STOKE CITY | DRAW | PRESTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct (open) | 1.80 | 3.75 | 4.30 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 1.81 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 49.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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