Southampton – Queens Park Rangers odds
Southampton went into the match as clear favourites against Queens Park Rangers.
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Southampton – Queens Park Rangers: closing odds analysis
- Southampton were favourites: the closing odds implied a 47% chance of a home win, 27% for Queens Park Rangers and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Southampton 2.07 at Betano, the draw 3.80 at Betinia, Queens Park Rangers 3.66 at Betinia.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Southampton drifted from 1.66 at the opening to 2.07 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Southampton or Queens Park Rangers?
Southampton, clearly: the closing odds put 19.7 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Southampton – Queens Park Rangers?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Southampton, Betinia on the draw and Betinia on Queens Park Rangers. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.1%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | SOUTHAMPTON | DRAW | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 1.94 | 3.80 best price | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.94 | 3.80 best price | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.94 | 3.80 best price | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.94 | 3.80 best price | 3.66 best price | 95.1% |
| Betano | 2.07 best price | 3.70 | 3.35 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 2.02 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 94.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.92 | 3.75 | 3.60 | 93.9% |
| SpreadEx | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 1.98 | 3.67 | 3.37 | 93.1% |
| GetLucky | 1.96 | 3.63 | 3.34 | 92.2% |
| Casinostuen | 1.96 | 3.63 | 3.34 | 92.2% |
| 888sport | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 91.8% |
| Mr Green | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 91.8% |
| Bet25 | 1.98 | 3.70 | 3.15 | 91.5% |
| VBET | 1.99 | 3.45 | 3.28 | 91.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.99 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.07 | 3.80 | 3.66 | 98.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.92–2.07 · 7.8% | 3.40–3.80 · 11.8% | 3.15–3.66 · 16.2% | 90.2–95.1% |
How did the Southampton – Queens Park Rangers odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Southampton drifted from 1.66 when odds opened on 24 Oct to 2.07 at kick-off, a 24.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SOUTHAMPTON | DRAW | QUEENS PARK RANGERS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct (open) | 1.66 | 4.33 | 4.80 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 1.78 | 4.20 | 4.25 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 2.07 | 3.80 | 3.66 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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