Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig odds
RB Leipzig went into the match as heavy favourites against Schalke 04.
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Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig: closing odds analysis
- RB Leipzig were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of an away win, 24% for Schalke 04 and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Schalke 04 4.10 at VBET, the draw 4.00 at Betano, RB Leipzig 1.90 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.7%.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Schalke 04 or RB Leipzig?
RB Leipzig, by a distance: the closing odds put 27.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Schalke 04, Betano on the draw and Betano on RB Leipzig. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.7%) and Bet25 the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | SCHALKE 04 | DRAW | RB LEIPZIG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 4.05 | 4.00 best price | 1.90 best price | 97.7% |
| Stake | 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.83 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 4.10 best price | 3.81 | 1.84 | 95.3% |
| bet365 | 4.10 best price | 3.75 | 1.85 | 95.1% |
| ComeOn | 4.06 | 3.96 | 1.81 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 4.00 | 4.00 best price | 1.81 | 95.0% |
| Betinia | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.85 | 94.9% |
| CampoBet | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.85 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.85 | 94.9% |
| Betoro | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.85 | 94.9% |
| Oddset | 3.95 | 3.80 | 1.86 | 94.9% |
| GetLucky | 4.02 | 3.92 | 1.80 | 94.4% |
| Casinostuen | 4.02 | 3.92 | 1.80 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.88 | 93.9% |
| 888sport | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.83 | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.83 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 3.65 | 3.80 | 1.78 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.90 | 98.0% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 3.60–4.10 · 13.9% | 3.70–4.00 · 8.1% | 1.78–1.90 · 6.7% | 91.0–97.7% |
How did the Schalke 04 – RB Leipzig odds move before kick-off?
The best prices barely moved between the opening on 19 Oct and kick-off: no outcome moved more than 1.1%.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SCHALKE 04 | DRAW | RB LEIPZIG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.88 |
| Sun 25 Oct | 4.20 | 4.15 | 1.95 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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