Middlesbrough – Charlton Athletic odds
Middlesbrough went into the match as heavy favourites against Charlton Athletic.
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Middlesbrough – Charlton Athletic: closing odds analysis
- Middlesbrough were favourites: the closing odds implied a 77% chance of a home win, 9% for Charlton Athletic and 14% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Middlesbrough 1.25 at Betinia, the draw 7.40 at Stake, Charlton Athletic 13.00 at Stake.
- Oddset had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Charlton Athletic drifted from 9.60 at the opening to 13.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 48% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Middlesbrough or Charlton Athletic?
Middlesbrough, by a distance: the closing odds put 68.6 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Middlesbrough – Charlton Athletic?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Middlesbrough, Stake on the draw and Stake on Charlton Athletic. Across all three outcomes Oddset paid out the most (95.4%) and VBET the least (90.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | MIDDLESBROUGH | DRAW | CHARLTON ATHLETIC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oddset | 1.22 | 7.25 | 11.00 | 95.4% |
| Betano | 1.24 | 6.70 | 10.75 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 1.25 best price | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 1.25 best price | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 1.25 best price | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.25 best price | 6.66 | 10.00 | 95.2% |
| bwin | 1.20 | 7.00 | 12.50 | 94.7% |
| Stake | 1.18 | 7.40 best price | 13.00 best price | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.22 | 6.50 | 11.00 | 94.1% |
| Bet25 | 1.20 | 7.40 best price | 10.00 | 93.6% |
| ComeOn | 1.19 | 7.03 | 11.64 | 93.6% |
| GetLucky | 1.18 | 6.97 | 11.53 | 92.8% |
| Casinostuen | 1.18 | 6.97 | 11.53 | 92.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.20 | 6.50 | 11.00 | 92.8% |
| 888sport | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 | 92.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.19 | 6.40 | 9.40 | 90.7% |
| VBET | 1.18 | 6.30 | 10.00 | 90.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.25 | 7.40 | 13.00 | 98.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.18–1.25 · 5.9% | 6.00–7.40 · 23.3% | 9.40–13.00 · 38.3% | 90.4–95.4% |
How did the Middlesbrough – Charlton Athletic odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Charlton Athletic drifted from 9.60 when odds opened on 24 Oct to 13.00 at kick-off, a 35.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MIDDLESBROUGH | DRAW | CHARLTON ATHLETIC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct (open) | 1.27 | 6.25 | 9.60 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 1.29 | 6.20 | 9.50 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 1.25 | 7.40 | 13.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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