Kolding IF – HB Køge odds
Kolding IF went into the match as narrow favourites against HB Køge.
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2nd Half
Kolding IF – HB Køge: closing odds analysis
- Kolding IF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of a home win, 32% for HB Køge and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Kolding IF 2.29 at VBET, the draw 3.62 at VBET, HB Køge 3.00 at Casino House.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Kolding IF drifted from 2.15 at the opening to 2.29 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 62% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Kolding IF or HB Køge?
Kolding IF, but only just: the closing odds put 9.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Kolding IF – HB Køge?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Kolding IF, VBET on the draw and Casino House on HB Køge. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.2%) and Mr Green the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | KOLDING IF | DRAW | HB KØGE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.29 best price | 3.62 best price | 2.96 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 2.27 | 3.54 | 2.97 | 94.4% |
| CampoBet | 2.27 | 3.54 | 2.97 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 2.27 | 3.54 | 2.97 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 2.27 | 3.54 | 2.97 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.00 best price | 94.0% |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 93.4% |
| Oddset | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 93.0% |
| ComeOn | 2.23 | 3.57 | 2.87 | 92.9% |
| Bet25 | 2.24 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 92.3% |
| GetLucky | 2.21 | 3.53 | 2.85 | 92.0% |
| Casinostuen | 2.21 | 3.53 | 2.85 | 92.0% |
| Stake | 2.24 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 91.9% |
| bwin | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 90.7% |
| Betmaster | 2.21 | 3.35 | 2.80 | 90.2% |
| 888sport | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 90.0% |
| Mr Green | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.29 | 3.62 | 3.00 | 95.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.20–2.29 · 4.1% | 3.30–3.62 · 9.7% | 2.70–3.00 · 11.1% | 90.0–95.2% |
How did the Kolding IF – HB Køge odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Kolding IF drifted from 2.15 when odds opened on 24 Oct to 2.29 at kick-off, a 6.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | KOLDING IF | DRAW | HB KØGE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct (open) | 2.15 | 3.64 | 3.13 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 2.30 | 3.61 | 3.00 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 2.29 | 3.62 | 3.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 61.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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