Brentford – Nottingham Forest odds
Brentford went into the match as clear favourites against Nottingham Forest.
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Brentford – Nottingham Forest: closing odds analysis
- Brentford were favourites: the closing odds implied a 45% chance of a home win, 29% for Nottingham Forest and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Brentford 2.19 at VBET, the draw 3.76 at ComeOn, Nottingham Forest 3.42 at ComeOn.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Brentford drifted from 1.95 at the opening to 2.19 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Brentford or Nottingham Forest?
Brentford, clearly: the closing odds put 16.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Brentford – Nottingham Forest?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Brentford, ComeOn on the draw and ComeOn on Nottingham Forest. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (97.9%) and Mr Green the least (92.5%).
| BOOKMAKER | BRENTFORD | DRAW | NOTTINGHAM FOREST | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.17 | 3.75 | 3.40 | 97.9% |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.70 | 3.40 | 97.7% |
| Merkur Bets | 2.16 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 96.6% |
| ComeOn | 2.09 | 3.76 best price | 3.42 best price | 96.4% |
| VBET | 2.19 best price | 3.57 | 3.30 | 96.2% |
| Spilhuset | 2.14 | 3.62 | 3.33 | 95.8% |
| SpreadEx | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 95.7% |
| GetLucky | 2.07 | 3.73 | 3.38 | 95.5% |
| Casinostuen | 2.07 | 3.73 | 3.38 | 95.5% |
| Expekt | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.30 | 95.4% |
| LeoVegas | 2.12 | 3.65 | 3.30 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.33 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.33 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.33 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.33 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.33 | 95.3% |
| Stake | 2.07 | 3.70 | 3.35 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.12 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 95.0% |
| bwin | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 94.2% |
| Betmaster | 2.12 | 3.45 | 3.25 | 93.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.03 | 3.75 | 3.15 | 92.9% |
| 888sport | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 92.5% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.19 | 3.76 | 3.42 | 98.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.03–2.19 · 7.9% | 3.45–3.76 · 9.0% | 3.15–3.42 · 8.6% | 92.5–97.9% |
How did the Brentford – Nottingham Forest odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Brentford drifted from 1.95 when odds opened on 17 Oct to 2.19 at kick-off, a 12.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BRENTFORD | DRAW | NOTTINGHAM FOREST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 17 Oct (open) | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.65 |
| Sat 24 Oct | 2.05 | 4.00 | 3.70 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 2.19 | 3.76 | 3.42 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 59.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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