Borussia Mönchengladbach – Paderborn odds
Borussia Mönchengladbach went into the match as clear favourites against Paderborn.
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Borussia Mönchengladbach – Paderborn: closing odds analysis
- Borussia Mönchengladbach were favourites: the closing odds implied a 45% chance of a home win, 30% for Paderborn and 25% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.20 at Betinia, the draw 3.95 at Betano, Paderborn 3.55 at Oddset.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Borussia Mönchengladbach drifted from 1.88 at the opening to 2.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 63% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Borussia Mönchengladbach or Paderborn?
Borussia Mönchengladbach, clearly: the closing odds put 15.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Borussia Mönchengladbach – Paderborn?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Borussia Mönchengladbach, Betano on the draw and Oddset on Paderborn. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.5%) and Bet25 the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH | DRAW | PADERBORN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.20 best price | 3.95 best price | 3.15 | 97.5% |
| VBET | 2.17 | 3.71 | 3.23 | 96.2% |
| Betinia | 2.20 best price | 3.80 | 3.00 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.20 best price | 3.80 | 3.00 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.20 best price | 3.80 | 3.00 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.20 best price | 3.80 | 3.00 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.10 | 3.80 | 3.20 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 2.12 | 3.80 | 3.15 | 95.0% |
| bet365 | 2.15 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 94.8% |
| bwin | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 93.9% |
| ComeOn | 1.94 | 3.86 | 3.37 | 93.3% |
| Oddset | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.55 best price | 92.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.92 | 3.83 | 3.34 | 92.5% |
| Casinostuen | 1.92 | 3.83 | 3.34 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 91.0% |
| Mr Green | 2.10 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 91.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.88 | 3.90 | 3.10 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.20 | 3.95 | 3.55 | 101.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.85–2.20 · 18.9% | 3.60–3.95 · 9.7% | 2.90–3.55 · 22.4% | 90.0–97.5% |
How did the Borussia Mönchengladbach – Paderborn odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Borussia Mönchengladbach drifted from 1.88 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 2.20 at kick-off, a 17.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BORUSSIA MÖNCHENGLADBACH | DRAW | PADERBORN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 1.88 | 4.15 | 3.90 |
| Sun 25 Oct | 1.98 | 4.10 | 3.70 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 2.20 | 3.95 | 3.37 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 62.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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