Barcelona – Deportivo Alavés odds
Barcelona went into the match as heavy favourites against Deportivo Alavés.
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Barcelona – Deportivo Alavés: closing odds analysis
- Barcelona were favourites: the closing odds implied a 86% chance of a home win, 5% for Deportivo Alavés and 9% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Barcelona 1.13 at bwin, the draw 11.64 at ComeOn, Deportivo Alavés 22.78 at ComeOn.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 9.00 at the opening to 11.64 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 80% chance of three or more goals and 52% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Barcelona or Deportivo Alavés?
Barcelona, by a distance: the closing odds put 81.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Barcelona – Deportivo Alavés?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Barcelona, ComeOn on the draw and ComeOn on Deportivo Alavés. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.3%) and Bet25 the least (91.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | BARCELONA | DRAW | DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.13 best price | 10.50 | 21.00 | 97.3% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.13 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 96.9% |
| bwin | 1.13 best price | 10.00 | 17.00 | 95.8% |
| ComeOn | 1.09 | 11.64 best price | 22.78 best price | 95.5% |
| VBET | 1.10 | 11.00 | 21.00 | 95.5% |
| Spilhuset | 1.10 | 11.00 | 21.00 | 95.5% |
| Stake | 1.10 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 95.0% |
| Expekt | 1.10 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 95.0% |
| LeoVegas | 1.10 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 1.11 | 10.00 | 19.00 | 94.9% |
| CampoBet | 1.12 | 9.50 | 18.00 | 94.9% |
| 888sport | 1.10 | 10.00 | 21.00 | 94.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.10 | 10.00 | 21.00 | 94.6% |
| GetLucky | 1.08 | 11.53 | 22.57 | 94.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.08 | 11.53 | 22.57 | 94.6% |
| Unibet | 1.09 | 11.00 | 20.00 | 94.5% |
| SpreadEx | 1.09 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 94.3% |
| Betinia | 1.11 | 9.50 | 18.00 | 94.2% |
| Casinomoto | 1.11 | 9.50 | 18.00 | 94.2% |
| Betoro | 1.11 | 9.50 | 18.00 | 94.2% |
| Betmaster | 1.10 | 10.00 | 18.00 | 93.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.08 | 9.80 | 15.00 | 91.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.13 | 11.64 | 22.78 | 98.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.08–1.13 · 4.6% | 9.50–11.64 · 22.5% | 15.00–22.78 · 51.9% | 91.4–97.3% |
How did the Barcelona – Deportivo Alavés odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 9.00 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 11.64 at kick-off, a 29.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BARCELONA | DRAW | DEPORTIVO ALAVÉS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 1.16 | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| Sun 25 Oct | 1.16 | 9.80 | 25.00 |
| Sat 31 Oct (kick-off) | 1.13 | 11.64 | 22.78 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 51.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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