Sheffield United – Wrexham odds
Sheffield United went into the match as narrow favourites against Wrexham.
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Sheffield United – Wrexham: closing odds analysis
- Sheffield United were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of a home win, 30% for Wrexham and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sheffield United 2.33 at Betinia, the draw 3.37 at ComeOn, Wrexham 3.26 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Wrexham drifted from 2.75 at the opening to 3.26 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance of three or more goals and 52% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sheffield United or Wrexham?
Sheffield United, but only just: the closing odds put 11.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sheffield United – Wrexham?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Sheffield United, ComeOn on the draw and VBET on Wrexham. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.5%) and Betmaster the least (89.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | SHEFFIELD UNITED | DRAW | WREXHAM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.35 | 3.15 | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 2.33 best price | 3.33 | 3.10 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.33 best price | 3.33 | 3.10 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.33 best price | 3.33 | 3.10 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.33 best price | 3.33 | 3.10 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 2.26 | 3.35 | 3.15 | 94.5% |
| Casinomoto | 2.25 | 3.33 | 3.10 | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 2.24 | 3.37 best price | 3.07 | 93.6% |
| bwin | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 93.0% |
| GetLucky | 2.22 | 3.34 | 3.04 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 2.22 | 3.34 | 3.04 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 91.7% |
| Mr Green | 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 91.7% |
| VBET | 2.11 | 3.13 | 3.26 best price | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.25 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 89.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.33 | 3.37 | 3.26 | 96.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.11–2.33 · 10.4% | 3.10–3.37 · 8.7% | 2.90–3.26 · 12.4% | 89.9–95.5% |
How did the Sheffield United – Wrexham odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Wrexham drifted from 2.75 when odds opened on 24 Oct to 3.26 at kick-off, a 18.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SHEFFIELD UNITED | DRAW | WREXHAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct (open) | 2.54 | 3.35 | 2.75 |
| Tue 27 Oct | 2.57 | 3.45 | 2.71 |
| Fri 30 Oct (kick-off) | 2.33 | 3.37 | 3.26 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 51.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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