Nice – Rennes odds
Nice and Rennes went into the match almost level in the odds.
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2nd Half
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Nice – Rennes: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for Nice, 27% for a draw and 37% for Rennes.
- Best closing odds: Nice 2.72 at VBET, the draw 3.80 at Bet25, Rennes 2.70 at SpreadEx.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Rennes drifted from 2.40 at the opening to 2.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Nice or Rennes?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 0.3 percentage points between Nice and Rennes.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Nice – Rennes?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Nice, Bet25 on the draw and SpreadEx on Rennes. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.0%) and Bet25 the least (90.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | NICE | DRAW | RENNES | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.72 best price | 3.41 | 2.63 | 96.0% |
| Stake | 2.65 | 3.70 | 2.50 | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.57 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 2.60 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 94.8% |
| Oddset | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 94.8% |
| bet365 | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.62 | 94.4% |
| ComeOn | 2.53 | 3.57 | 2.58 | 94.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.45 | 3.50 | 2.70 best price | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.60 | 93.4% |
| GetLucky | 2.50 | 3.53 | 2.55 | 93.0% |
| Casinostuen | 2.50 | 3.53 | 2.55 | 93.0% |
| 888sport | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 91.9% |
| Mr Green | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.60 | 91.9% |
| Bet25 | 2.50 | 3.80 best price | 2.25 | 90.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.72 | 3.80 | 2.70 | 99.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.45–2.72 · 11.0% | 3.30–3.80 · 15.2% | 2.25–2.70 · 20.0% | 90.3–96.0% |
How did the Nice – Rennes odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Rennes drifted from 2.40 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 2.70 at kick-off, a 12.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | NICE | DRAW | RENNES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 2.79 | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| Sat 24 Oct | 2.78 | 3.90 | 2.40 |
| Fri 30 Oct (kick-off) | 2.72 | 3.70 | 2.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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