Lyngby BK – Randers FC odds
Lyngby BK went into the match as clear favourites against Randers FC.
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Lyngby BK – Randers FC: closing odds analysis
- Lyngby BK were favourites: the closing odds implied a 44% chance of a home win, 30% for Randers FC and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lyngby BK 2.24 at VBET, the draw 3.84 at VBET, Randers FC 3.28 at Merkur Bets.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.0%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lyngby BK drifted from 2.06 at the opening to 2.24 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 62% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lyngby BK or Randers FC?
Lyngby BK, clearly: the closing odds put 13.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lyngby BK – Randers FC?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Lyngby BK, VBET on the draw and Merkur Bets on Randers FC. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (98.0%) and Betmaster the least (90.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | LYNGBY BK | DRAW | RANDERS FC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.24 best price | 3.84 best price | 3.19 | 98.0% |
| ComeOn | 2.18 | 3.77 | 3.26 | 97.0% |
| Merkur Bets | 2.22 | 3.60 | 3.28 best price | 96.8% |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.80 | 3.20 | 96.7% |
| Casinomoto | 2.20 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 96.1% |
| Spilhuset | 2.20 | 3.73 | 3.11 | 95.8% |
| Oddset | 2.15 | 3.75 | 3.15 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.16 | 3.75 | 3.10 | 95.0% |
| Expekt | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.15 | 95.0% |
| LeoVegas | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.15 | 95.0% |
| Stake | 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 93.9% |
| GetLucky | 2.10 | 3.63 | 3.14 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 2.10 | 3.63 | 3.14 | 93.4% |
| Betoro | 2.12 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 93.3% |
| bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.25 | 93.2% |
| SpreadEx | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 92.9% |
| Betinia | 2.12 | 3.75 | 2.90 | 92.3% |
| CampoBet | 2.12 | 3.75 | 2.90 | 92.3% |
| 888sport | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 92.2% |
| Bet25 | 2.02 | 3.70 | 2.95 | 90.6% |
| Betmaster | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 90.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.24 | 3.84 | 3.28 | 98.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.02–2.24 · 10.9% | 3.40–3.84 · 12.9% | 2.90–3.28 · 13.1% | 90.0–98.0% |
How did the Lyngby BK – Randers FC odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lyngby BK drifted from 2.06 when odds opened on 25 Oct to 2.24 at kick-off, a 8.7% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LYNGBY BK | DRAW | RANDERS FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct (open) | 2.06 | 3.85 | 3.40 |
| Wed 28 Oct | 2.25 | 3.85 | 3.20 |
| Fri 30 Oct (kick-off) | 2.24 | 3.84 | 3.28 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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