Le Havre – Paris Saint-Germain odds
Paris Saint-Germain went into the match as heavy favourites against Le Havre.
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Le Havre – Paris Saint-Germain: closing odds analysis
- Paris Saint-Germain were favourites: the closing odds implied a 72% chance of an away win, 11% for Le Havre and 17% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Le Havre 9.80 at VBET, the draw 6.50 at bwin, Paris Saint-Germain 1.34 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 6.90 at the opening to 6.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Le Havre or Paris Saint-Germain?
Paris Saint-Germain, by a distance: the closing odds put 61.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Le Havre – Paris Saint-Germain?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Le Havre, bwin on the draw and bwin on Paris Saint-Germain. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.2%) and Mr Green the least (91.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | LE HAVRE | DRAW | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 9.80 best price | 6.40 | 1.28 | 96.2% |
| bwin | 6.75 | 6.50 best price | 1.34 best price | 95.4% |
| Stake | 9.40 | 6.40 | 1.27 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 9.00 | 5.33 | 1.33 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 9.00 | 5.33 | 1.33 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 9.00 | 5.33 | 1.33 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 9.00 | 5.33 | 1.33 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 9.00 | 5.33 | 1.33 | 95.2% |
| bet365 | 9.00 | 5.75 | 1.30 | 94.9% |
| ComeOn | 8.22 | 5.94 | 1.30 | 94.4% |
| SpreadEx | 8.00 | 5.80 | 1.30 | 93.8% |
| Betmaster | 7.60 | 5.60 | 1.32 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 8.14 | 5.89 | 1.29 | 93.6% |
| Casinostuen | 8.14 | 5.89 | 1.29 | 93.6% |
| Oddset | 9.25 | 6.50 best price | 1.22 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 7.00 | 5.80 | 1.30 | 92.2% |
| 888sport | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 91.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 9.80 | 6.50 | 1.34 | 99.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 6.75–9.80 · 45.2% | 5.00–6.50 · 30.0% | 1.22–1.34 · 9.8% | 91.4–96.2% |
How did the Le Havre – Paris Saint-Germain odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 6.90 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 6.50 at kick-off, a 5.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LE HAVRE | DRAW | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 9.50 | 6.90 | 1.28 |
| Sat 24 Oct | 10.00 | 7.10 | 1.25 |
| Fri 30 Oct (kick-off) | 9.80 | 6.50 | 1.34 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 52.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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