Sevilla – Osasuna odds
Sevilla went into the match as heavy favourites against Osasuna.
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Sevilla – Osasuna: closing odds analysis
- Sevilla were favourites: the closing odds implied a 50% chance of a home win, 22% for Osasuna and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Sevilla 1.98 at Betano, the draw 3.50 at Stake, Osasuna 4.75 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Osasuna drifted from 4.25 at the opening to 4.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance of three or more goals and 48% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sevilla or Osasuna?
Sevilla, by a distance: the closing odds put 28.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sevilla – Osasuna?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Sevilla, Stake on the draw and Betinia on Osasuna. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.7%) and Bet25 the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | SEVILLA | DRAW | OSASUNA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.98 best price | 3.40 | 4.45 | 97.7% |
| Stake | 1.93 | 3.50 best price | 4.30 | 96.5% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.94 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 96.2% |
| VBET | 1.95 | 3.37 | 4.33 | 96.1% |
| Expekt | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 95.7% |
| LeoVegas | 1.95 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 95.7% |
| Spilhuset | 1.92 | 3.41 | 4.33 | 95.7% |
| SpreadEx | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 95.4% |
| Oddset | 1.92 | 3.40 | 4.25 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 95.1% |
| bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.33 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.80 | 3.50 best price | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.80 | 3.50 best price | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.80 | 3.50 best price | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.80 | 3.50 best price | 4.75 best price | 95.1% |
| Unibet | 1.87 | 3.35 | 4.50 | 94.7% |
| bwin | 1.90 | 3.40 | 4.20 | 94.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.91 | 3.37 | 4.16 | 94.3% |
| GetLucky | 1.89 | 3.34 | 4.12 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 1.89 | 3.34 | 4.12 | 93.4% |
| Betmaster | 1.92 | 3.20 | 4.10 | 92.8% |
| 888sport | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.33 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 1.85 | 3.20 | 4.33 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.00 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.98 | 3.50 | 4.75 | 99.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.80–1.98 · 10.0% | 3.20–3.50 · 9.4% | 4.00–4.75 · 18.8% | 90.9–97.7% |
How did the Sevilla – Osasuna odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Osasuna drifted from 4.25 when odds opened on 14 Oct to 4.75 at kick-off, a 11.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SEVILLA | DRAW | OSASUNA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 14 Oct (open) | 2.00 | 3.75 | 4.25 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 2.00 | 3.75 | 4.25 |
| Mon 26 Oct (kick-off) | 1.98 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 48.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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