Udinese – AC Milan odds
AC Milan went into the match as heavy favourites against Udinese.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Udinese – AC Milan: closing odds analysis
- AC Milan were favourites: the closing odds implied a 53% chance of an away win, 21% for Udinese and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Udinese 4.90 at VBET, the draw 3.80 at Stake, AC Milan 1.82 at bwin.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Udinese drifted from 4.40 at the opening to 4.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 52% chance of three or more goals and 53% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Udinese or AC Milan?
AC Milan, by a distance: the closing odds put 31.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Udinese – AC Milan?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Udinese, Stake on the draw and bwin on AC Milan. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (96.2%) and Bet25 the least (90.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | UDINESE | DRAW | AC MILAN | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 4.90 best price | 3.62 | 1.79 | 96.2% |
| Stake | 4.80 | 3.80 best price | 1.76 | 96.2% |
| Oddset | 4.50 | 3.65 | 1.81 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 4.50 | 3.66 | 1.80 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 4.50 | 3.66 | 1.80 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 4.50 | 3.66 | 1.80 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 4.50 | 3.66 | 1.80 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 4.50 | 3.75 | 1.77 | 94.9% |
| ComeOn | 4.46 | 3.67 | 1.77 | 94.2% |
| bwin | 4.40 | 3.50 | 1.82 best price | 94.1% |
| GetLucky | 4.42 | 3.63 | 1.76 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 4.42 | 3.63 | 1.76 | 93.5% |
| Betmaster | 4.40 | 3.45 | 1.80 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 4.33 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 91.2% |
| Mr Green | 4.33 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 91.2% |
| Bet25 | 4.20 | 3.65 | 1.70 | 90.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 4.90 | 3.80 | 1.82 | 98.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.20–4.90 · 16.7% | 3.40–3.80 · 11.8% | 1.70–1.82 · 7.1% | 90.9–96.2% |
How did the Udinese – AC Milan odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Udinese drifted from 4.40 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 4.90 at kick-off, a 11.4% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | UDINESE | DRAW | AC MILAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 4.40 | 4.20 | 1.83 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.67 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 4.90 | 3.80 | 1.82 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 52.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Serie A odds
- Como – CagliariSat 21 Nov · 15:00
- Lazio – LecceSat 21 Nov · 15:00
- Parma – RomaSat 21 Nov · 18:00
- Napoli – TorinoSat 21 Nov · 20:45
- Juventus – VeneziaSun 22 Nov · 12:30
- Bologna – UdineseSun 22 Nov · 15:00
- Sassuolo – GenoaSun 22 Nov · 15:00
- AC Milan – FrosinoneSun 22 Nov · 18:00
- Atalanta – InterSun 22 Nov · 20:45
- Monza – FiorentinaMon 23 Nov · 20:45
- Serie A odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.