Sunderland – Leeds odds
Sunderland and Leeds went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Sunderland – Leeds: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 34% for Sunderland, 31% for a draw and 36% for Leeds.
- Best closing odds: Sunderland 3.05 at Betano, the draw 3.20 at Stake, Leeds 2.90 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Leeds drifted from 2.54 at the opening to 2.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 44% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Sunderland or Leeds?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 2.1 percentage points between Sunderland and Leeds.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Sunderland – Leeds?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Sunderland, Stake on the draw and Stake on Leeds. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.6%) and Mr Green the least (92.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | SUNDERLAND | DRAW | LEEDS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.05 best price | 3.10 | 2.67 | 97.6% |
| Unibet | 2.88 | 3.15 | 2.70 | 96.6% |
| VBET | 2.63 | 3.18 | 2.90 best price | 96.2% |
| ComeOn | 2.92 | 3.17 | 2.62 | 96.2% |
| Stake | 2.60 | 3.20 best price | 2.90 best price | 96.0% |
| SpreadEx | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.75 | 95.8% |
| Spilhuset | 2.78 | 3.08 | 2.78 | 95.8% |
| Oddset | 2.90 | 3.15 | 2.60 | 95.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.89 | 3.14 | 2.60 | 95.3% |
| Casinostuen | 2.89 | 3.14 | 2.60 | 95.3% |
| Expekt | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.75 | 95.3% |
| LeoVegas | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.75 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 2.85 | 3.14 | 2.62 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.85 | 3.14 | 2.62 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.85 | 3.14 | 2.62 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.85 | 3.14 | 2.62 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.85 | 3.14 | 2.62 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.85 | 94.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.85 | 3.20 best price | 2.50 | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.85 | 2.95 | 2.55 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.45 | 92.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 101.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60–3.05 · 17.3% | 2.95–3.20 · 8.5% | 2.45–2.90 · 18.4% | 92.1–97.6% |
How did the Sunderland – Leeds odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Leeds drifted from 2.54 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 2.90 at kick-off, a 14.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | SUNDERLAND | DRAW | LEEDS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 2.80 | 3.35 | 2.54 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 2.95 | 3.35 | 2.57 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 51.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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