Real Sociedad – Levante odds
Real Sociedad went into the match as heavy favourites against Levante.
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Real Sociedad – Levante: closing odds analysis
- Real Sociedad were favourites: the closing odds implied a 61% chance of a home win, 18% for Levante and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Real Sociedad 1.60 at Betano, the draw 4.90 at Stake, Levante 5.60 at Unibet.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.8%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Levante drifted from 4.75 at the opening to 5.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Real Sociedad or Levante?
Real Sociedad, by a distance: the closing odds put 42.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Real Sociedad – Levante?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Real Sociedad, Stake on the draw and Unibet on Levante. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.8%) and Bet25 the least (89.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | REAL SOCIEDAD | DRAW | LEVANTE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.60 best price | 4.80 | 5.30 | 97.8% |
| Merkur Bets | 1.56 | 4.75 | 5.50 | 96.6% |
| Spilhuset | 1.55 | 4.70 | 5.30 | 95.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.56 | 4.66 | 5.15 | 95.3% |
| Expekt | 1.55 | 4.70 | 5.20 | 95.2% |
| LeoVegas | 1.55 | 4.70 | 5.20 | 95.2% |
| VBET | 1.52 | 4.75 | 5.50 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 1.56 | 4.75 | 5.00 | 95.1% |
| Unibet | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.60 best price | 94.8% |
| bwin | 1.53 | 4.75 | 5.25 | 94.8% |
| Betinia | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.33 | 94.8% |
| CampoBet | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.33 | 94.8% |
| Casinomoto | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.33 | 94.8% |
| Betoro | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.33 | 94.8% |
| Casino House | 1.55 | 4.50 | 5.33 | 94.8% |
| SpreadEx | 1.54 | 4.60 | 5.25 | 94.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.54 | 4.61 | 5.10 | 94.1% |
| Casinostuen | 1.54 | 4.61 | 5.10 | 94.1% |
| Betmaster | 1.56 | 4.40 | 5.00 | 93.6% |
| 888sport | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.80 | 92.9% |
| Mr Green | 1.57 | 4.33 | 4.80 | 92.9% |
| Bet25 | 1.48 | 4.60 | 4.50 | 89.7% |
| Stake | — | 4.90 best price | 5.40 | — |
| BEST PRICE | 1.60 | 4.90 | 5.60 | 99.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.48–1.60 · 8.1% | 4.33–4.90 · 13.2% | 4.50–5.60 · 24.4% | 89.7–97.8% |
How did the Real Sociedad – Levante odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Levante drifted from 4.75 when odds opened on 14 Oct to 5.60 at kick-off, a 17.9% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | REAL SOCIEDAD | DRAW | LEVANTE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 14 Oct (open) | 1.75 | 4.30 | 4.75 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 1.75 | 4.30 | 4.75 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 1.60 | 4.90 | 5.60 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 61.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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