Paris Saint-Germain – Lyon odds
Paris Saint-Germain went into the match as heavy favourites against Lyon.
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Paris Saint-Germain – Lyon: closing odds analysis
- Paris Saint-Germain were favourites: the closing odds implied a 66% chance of a home win, 16% for Lyon and 19% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Paris Saint-Germain 1.46 at bwin, the draw 5.40 at VBET, Lyon 6.50 at Betinia.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lyon shortened from 7.10 at the opening to 6.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Paris Saint-Germain or Lyon?
Paris Saint-Germain, by a distance: the closing odds put 49.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Paris Saint-Germain – Lyon?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Paris Saint-Germain, VBET on the draw and Betinia on Lyon. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.4%) and Bet25 the least (91.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | DRAW | LYON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.42 | 5.40 best price | 6.30 | 95.4% |
| bwin | 1.46 best price | 5.00 | 6.00 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.46 best price | 5.00 | 6.00 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 1.46 best price | 5.00 | 6.00 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.50 best price | 94.9% |
| CampoBet | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.50 best price | 94.9% |
| Betoro | 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.50 best price | 94.9% |
| Stake | 1.42 | 5.20 | 6.20 | 94.5% |
| Betmaster | 1.45 | 4.80 | 5.80 | 93.4% |
| Oddset | 1.38 | 5.25 | 6.25 | 93.0% |
| ComeOn | 1.43 | 4.95 | 5.75 | 93.0% |
| SpreadEx | 1.40 | 5.25 | 5.80 | 92.8% |
| GetLucky | 1.41 | 4.91 | 5.69 | 91.9% |
| Casinostuen | 1.41 | 4.91 | 5.69 | 91.9% |
| 888sport | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.00 | 91.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.40 | 4.80 | 6.00 | 91.8% |
| Bet25 | 1.42 | 5.00 | 5.20 | 91.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.46 | 5.40 | 6.50 | 97.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.38–1.46 · 5.8% | 4.75–5.40 · 13.7% | 5.20–6.50 · 25.0% | 91.2–95.4% |
How did the Paris Saint-Germain – Lyon odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lyon shortened from 7.10 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 6.30 at kick-off, a 11.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PARIS SAINT-GERMAIN | DRAW | LYON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 1.52 | 5.00 | 7.10 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 1.40 | 6.70 | 7.10 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 1.46 | 5.40 | 6.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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