Man Utd – Bournemouth odds
Man Utd went into the match as narrow favourites against Bournemouth.
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Man Utd – Bournemouth: closing odds analysis
- Man Utd were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 32% for Bournemouth and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Man Utd 2.47 at Betano, the draw 3.60 at SpreadEx, Bournemouth 3.10 at 888sport.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Man Utd drifted from 1.80 at the opening to 2.47 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Man Utd or Bournemouth?
Man Utd, but only just: the closing odds put 7.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Man Utd – Bournemouth?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Man Utd, SpreadEx on the draw and 888sport on Bournemouth. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.2%) and Mr Green the least (92.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | MAN UTD | DRAW | BOURNEMOUTH | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.47 best price | 3.55 | 2.92 | 97.2% |
| Unibet | 2.40 | 3.50 | 3.00 | 96.6% |
| Stake | 2.42 | 3.50 | 2.95 | 96.3% |
| ComeOn | 2.42 | 3.52 | 2.92 | 96.2% |
| Betinia | 2.40 | 3.33 | 3.00 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 2.40 | 3.33 | 3.00 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 2.40 | 3.33 | 3.00 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 2.40 | 3.33 | 3.00 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 2.40 | 3.33 | 3.00 | 95.2% |
| VBET | 2.45 | 3.39 | 2.88 | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 2.46 | 3.40 | 2.85 | 95.1% |
| GetLucky | 2.39 | 3.48 | 2.89 | 95.1% |
| Casinostuen | 2.39 | 3.48 | 2.89 | 95.1% |
| Expekt | 2.40 | 3.45 | 2.88 | 94.8% |
| LeoVegas | 2.40 | 3.45 | 2.88 | 94.8% |
| SpreadEx | 2.20 | 3.60 best price | 3.10 best price | 94.8% |
| bwin | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.85 | 94.2% |
| Bet25 | 2.33 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 93.3% |
| Betmaster | 2.44 | 3.20 | 2.85 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 best price | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.10 best price | 92.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.47 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 99.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.10–2.47 · 17.6% | 3.20–3.60 · 12.5% | 2.80–3.10 · 10.7% | 92.2–97.2% |
How did the Man Utd – Bournemouth odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Man Utd drifted from 1.80 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 2.47 at kick-off, a 37.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | MAN UTD | DRAW | BOURNEMOUTH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.85 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.91 | 4.00 | 3.95 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 2.47 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 58.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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