Lecce – Juventus odds
Juventus went into the match as heavy favourites against Lecce.
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Lecce – Juventus: closing odds analysis
- Juventus were favourites: the closing odds implied a 63% chance of an away win, 15% for Lecce and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lecce 7.00 at Stake, the draw 4.60 at Stake, Juventus 1.53 at 888sport.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lecce shortened from 7.80 at the opening to 7.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 53% chance of three or more goals and 48% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lecce or Juventus?
Juventus, by a distance: the closing odds put 48.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lecce – Juventus?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Lecce, Stake on the draw and 888sport on Juventus. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.1%) and Bet25 the least (91.0%).
| BOOKMAKER | LECCE | DRAW | JUVENTUS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 7.00 best price | 4.60 best price | 1.47 | 96.1% |
| Betinia | 7.00 best price | 4.33 | 1.48 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 7.00 best price | 4.33 | 1.48 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 7.00 best price | 4.33 | 1.48 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 7.00 best price | 4.33 | 1.48 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 6.50 | 4.20 | 1.52 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 7.00 best price | 4.40 | 1.47 | 95.2% |
| bwin | 6.75 | 4.10 | 1.51 | 94.8% |
| Oddset | 6.00 | 4.25 | 1.53 best price | 94.7% |
| ComeOn | 6.04 | 4.36 | 1.51 | 94.6% |
| GetLucky | 5.99 | 4.32 | 1.49 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 5.99 | 4.32 | 1.49 | 93.5% |
| Betmaster | 5.80 | 4.10 | 1.53 best price | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 5.75 | 3.90 | 1.53 best price | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 5.75 | 3.90 | 1.53 best price | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 5.40 | 4.20 | 1.48 | 91.0% |
| BEST PRICE | 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.53 | 98.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 5.40–7.00 · 29.6% | 3.90–4.60 · 17.9% | 1.47–1.53 · 4.1% | 91.0–96.1% |
How did the Lecce – Juventus odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lecce shortened from 7.80 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 7.00 at kick-off, a 10.3% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LECCE | DRAW | JUVENTUS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 7.80 | 4.33 | 1.47 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 8.00 | 6.55 | 1.47 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 7.00 | 4.60 | 1.53 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 47.6%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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