Hull – Brentford odds
Brentford went into the match as heavy favourites against Hull.
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Hull – Brentford: closing odds analysis
- Brentford were favourites: the closing odds implied a 57% chance of an away win, 20% for Hull and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Hull 5.30 at Unibet, the draw 4.30 at Stake, Brentford 1.70 at ComeOn.
- Unibet had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hull drifted from 4.50 at the opening to 5.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Hull or Brentford?
Brentford, by a distance: the closing odds put 37.5 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Hull – Brentford?
It depended on the outcome: Unibet was best on Hull, Stake on the draw and ComeOn on Brentford. Across all three outcomes Unibet paid out the most (97.3%) and Mr Green the least (92.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | HULL | DRAW | BRENTFORD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 5.30 best price | 4.10 | 1.68 | 97.3% |
| Betano | 5.10 | 4.10 | 1.70 best price | 97.3% |
| Stake | 5.00 | 4.30 best price | 1.64 | 95.9% |
| ComeOn | 4.75 | 4.06 | 1.70 best price | 95.7% |
| Betinia | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.63 | 95.1% |
| VBET | 5.20 | 4.00 | 1.64 | 95.1% |
| Expekt | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 95.0% |
| LeoVegas | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.67 | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.69 | 95.0% |
| GetLucky | 4.71 | 4.02 | 1.69 | 95.0% |
| Casinostuen | 4.71 | 4.02 | 1.69 | 95.0% |
| SpreadEx | 4.75 | 4.00 | 1.67 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.66 | 94.3% |
| Bet25 | 4.50 | 4.20 | 1.65 | 93.8% |
| Betmaster | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.69 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.66 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 4.60 | 3.80 | 1.66 | 92.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 5.30 | 4.30 | 1.70 | 99.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.50–5.30 · 17.8% | 3.80–4.30 · 13.2% | 1.63–1.70 · 4.3% | 92.3–97.3% |
How did the Hull – Brentford odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hull drifted from 4.50 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 5.30 at kick-off, a 17.8% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | HULL | DRAW | BRENTFORD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 4.50 | 3.95 | 1.70 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 4.50 | 4.30 | 1.82 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 5.30 | 4.30 | 1.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 56.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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