FC Midtjylland – Lyngby BK odds
FC Midtjylland went into the match as heavy favourites against Lyngby BK.
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FC Midtjylland – Lyngby BK: closing odds analysis
- FC Midtjylland were favourites: the closing odds implied a 68% chance of a home win, 14% for Lyngby BK and 18% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: FC Midtjylland 1.44 at bwin, the draw 5.61 at ComeOn, Lyngby BK 7.50 at Casino House.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw drifted from 4.90 at the opening to 5.61 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, FC Midtjylland or Lyngby BK?
FC Midtjylland, by a distance: the closing odds put 54.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on FC Midtjylland – Lyngby BK?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on FC Midtjylland, ComeOn on the draw and Casino House on Lyngby BK. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (97.9%) and Bet25 the least (87.7%).
| BOOKMAKER | FC MIDTJYLLAND | DRAW | LYNGBY BK | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.43 | 5.50 | 7.10 | 97.9% |
| ComeOn | 1.42 | 5.61 best price | 6.93 | 97.4% |
| Unibet | 1.42 | 5.25 | 7.00 | 96.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.40 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 96.3% |
| Oddset | 1.40 | 5.50 | 6.75 | 95.8% |
| Expekt | 1.40 | 5.40 | 6.75 | 95.5% |
| Casino House | 1.36 | 5.50 | 7.50 best price | 95.2% |
| bwin | 1.44 best price | 5.00 | 6.25 | 94.8% |
| Stake | 1.42 | 5.20 | 6.00 | 94.1% |
| Betoro | 1.35 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 93.9% |
| GetLucky | 1.36 | 5.40 | 6.67 | 93.4% |
| Casinostuen | 1.36 | 5.40 | 6.67 | 93.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.33 | 5.50 | 7.00 | 93.0% |
| Betinia | 1.33 | 5.33 | 7.00 | 92.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.33 | 5.33 | 7.00 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 91.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.36 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 91.8% |
| Betmaster | 1.38 | 4.80 | 5.80 | 90.5% |
| Bet25 | 1.31 | 5.20 | 5.40 | 87.7% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.44 | 5.61 | 7.50 | 99.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.31–1.44 · 9.9% | 4.80–5.61 · 16.9% | 5.40–7.50 · 38.9% | 87.7–97.9% |
How did the FC Midtjylland – Lyngby BK odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw drifted from 4.90 when odds opened on 18 Oct to 5.61 at kick-off, a 14.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | FC MIDTJYLLAND | DRAW | LYNGBY BK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 18 Oct (open) | 1.42 | 4.90 | 7.03 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 1.50 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 1.44 | 5.61 | 7.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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