Crystal Palace – Newcastle odds
Crystal Palace and Newcastle went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Crystal Palace – Newcastle: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 37% for Crystal Palace, 27% for a draw and 36% for Newcastle.
- Best closing odds: Crystal Palace 2.70 at Bet25, the draw 3.65 at Betano, Newcastle 2.70 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Newcastle drifted from 2.50 at the opening to 2.70 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 57% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Crystal Palace or Newcastle?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 0.5 percentage points between Crystal Palace and Newcastle.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Crystal Palace – Newcastle?
It depended on the outcome: Bet25 was best on Crystal Palace, Betano on the draw and Stake on Newcastle. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.5%) and Bet25 the least (90.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | CRYSTAL PALACE | DRAW | NEWCASTLE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.62 | 3.65 best price | 2.70 best price | 97.5% |
| ComeOn | 2.62 | 3.61 | 2.67 | 96.8% |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.55 | 2.70 best price | 96.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.60 | 3.58 | 2.65 | 96.0% |
| Casinostuen | 2.60 | 3.58 | 2.65 | 96.0% |
| Stake | 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.70 best price | 95.8% |
| VBET | 2.58 | 3.50 | 2.66 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.66 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.66 | 95.2% |
| Casinomoto | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.66 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.66 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 2.57 | 3.50 | 2.66 | 95.2% |
| SpreadEx | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.63 | 95.1% |
| Expekt | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 94.8% |
| LeoVegas | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 94.8% |
| Oddset | 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.60 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 94.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.55 | 3.35 | 2.60 | 93.0% |
| 888sport | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 91.4% |
| Mr Green | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 91.4% |
| Bet25 | 2.70 best price | 3.35 | 2.30 | 90.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.70 | 3.65 | 2.70 | 98.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.50–2.70 · 8.0% | 3.35–3.65 · 9.0% | 2.30–2.70 · 17.4% | 90.6–97.5% |
How did the Crystal Palace – Newcastle odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Newcastle drifted from 2.50 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 2.70 at kick-off, a 8.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CRYSTAL PALACE | DRAW | NEWCASTLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 2.65 | 3.60 | 2.50 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.45 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 2.62 | 3.65 | 2.70 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 60.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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