Celta Vigo – Real Betis odds
Real Betis went into the match as narrow favourites against Celta Vigo.
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Celta Vigo – Real Betis: closing odds analysis
- Real Betis were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 32% for Celta Vigo and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Celta Vigo 3.20 at Casino House, the draw 3.55 at Betano, Real Betis 2.80 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Celta Vigo drifted from 2.73 at the opening to 3.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance of three or more goals and 55% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Celta Vigo or Real Betis?
Real Betis, but only just: the closing odds put 6.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Celta Vigo – Real Betis?
It depended on the outcome: Casino House was best on Celta Vigo, Betano on the draw and Stake on Real Betis. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.6%) and Bet25 the least (89.4%).
| BOOKMAKER | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | REAL BETIS | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 3.15 | 3.55 best price | 2.35 | 97.6% |
| Stake | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.80 best price | 96.5% |
| Merkur Bets | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.59 | 95.6% |
| ComeOn | 3.02 | 3.37 | 2.38 | 95.4% |
| VBET | 2.65 | 3.26 | 2.73 | 95.2% |
| Expekt | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 95.2% |
| LeoVegas | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 3.20 best price | 3.40 | 2.25 | 95.1% |
| Betinia | 3.14 | 3.40 | 2.28 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 3.14 | 3.40 | 2.28 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 3.14 | 3.40 | 2.28 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 3.14 | 3.40 | 2.28 | 95.1% |
| Unibet | 2.80 | 3.15 | 2.63 | 94.8% |
| Oddset | 2.95 | 3.35 | 2.39 | 94.7% |
| SpreadEx | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 94.6% |
| bwin | 2.65 | 3.30 | 2.65 | 94.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.99 | 3.34 | 2.35 | 94.4% |
| Casinostuen | 2.99 | 3.34 | 2.34 | 94.2% |
| Betmaster | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.31 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.30 | 93.0% |
| Mr Green | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.30 | 93.0% |
| Bet25 | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 89.4% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.80 | 105.1% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60–3.20 · 23.1% | 3.15–3.55 · 12.7% | 2.15–2.80 · 30.2% | 89.4–97.6% |
How did the Celta Vigo – Real Betis odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Celta Vigo drifted from 2.73 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 3.20 at kick-off, a 17.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | CELTA VIGO | DRAW | REAL BETIS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 2.73 | 3.45 | 3.00 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 2.82 | 3.55 | 3.00 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 3.20 | 3.55 | 2.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 55.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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