Athletic Club – Getafe odds
Athletic Club went into the match as heavy favourites against Getafe.
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Athletic Club – Getafe: closing odds analysis
- Athletic Club were favourites: the closing odds implied a 61% chance of a home win, 16% for Getafe and 24% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Athletic Club 1.60 at Betano, the draw 4.20 at Stake, Getafe 6.75 at Unibet.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Getafe drifted from 6.40 at the opening to 6.75 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 45% chance of three or more goals and 44% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Athletic Club or Getafe?
Athletic Club, by a distance: the closing odds put 45.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Athletic Club – Getafe?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Athletic Club, Stake on the draw and Unibet on Getafe. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.5%) and Bet25 the least (91.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | ATHLETIC CLUB | DRAW | GETAFE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.60 best price | 4.05 | 6.50 | 97.5% |
| Stake | 1.54 | 4.20 best price | 6.40 | 95.8% |
| VBET | 1.56 | 3.97 | 6.40 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 1.58 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 1.58 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 1.58 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 1.58 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 1.58 | 4.00 | 6.00 | 95.3% |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 4.10 | 6.75 best price | 95.2% |
| Oddset | 1.58 | 3.95 | 6.00 | 95.0% |
| bwin | 1.55 | 4.10 | 6.00 | 94.7% |
| ComeOn | 1.57 | 3.91 | 6.04 | 94.5% |
| SpreadEx | 1.57 | 3.90 | 6.00 | 94.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.55 | 3.88 | 5.99 | 93.5% |
| Casinostuen | 1.55 | 3.88 | 5.99 | 93.5% |
| Betmaster | 1.58 | 3.75 | 5.80 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 1.54 | 3.85 | 5.60 | 91.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.60 | 4.20 | 6.75 | 98.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.52–1.60 · 5.3% | 3.75–4.20 · 12.0% | 5.60–6.75 · 20.5% | 91.9–97.5% |
How did the Athletic Club – Getafe odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Getafe drifted from 6.40 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 6.75 at kick-off, a 5.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ATHLETIC CLUB | DRAW | GETAFE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 1.60 | 4.10 | 6.40 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.67 | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 1.60 | 4.20 | 6.75 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Fewer than three goals was the likelier outcome in the closing odds. Both teams to score was priced at 44.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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