Atalanta – Frosinone odds
Atalanta went into the match as clear favourites against Frosinone.
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Atalanta – Frosinone: closing odds analysis
- Atalanta were favourites: the closing odds implied a 51% chance of a home win, 26% for Frosinone and 23% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Atalanta 1.95 at bwin, the draw 4.30 at Stake, Frosinone 3.85 at Bet25.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.9%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Frosinone shortened from 5.10 at the opening to 3.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 71% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Atalanta or Frosinone?
Atalanta, clearly: the closing odds put 24.3 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Atalanta – Frosinone?
It depended on the outcome: bwin was best on Atalanta, Stake on the draw and Bet25 on Frosinone. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (95.9%) and Bet25 the least (86.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | ATALANTA | DRAW | FROSINONE | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.92 | 4.30 best price | 3.45 | 95.9% |
| Oddset | 1.89 | 4.25 | 3.50 | 95.2% |
| VBET | 1.91 | 4.10 | 3.53 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 1.86 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 1.87 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 95.1% |
| bwin | 1.95 best price | 4.10 | 3.30 | 94.4% |
| ComeOn | 1.86 | 4.16 | 3.47 | 93.8% |
| Betmaster | 1.89 | 3.95 | 3.45 | 93.3% |
| GetLucky | 1.85 | 4.12 | 3.43 | 93.0% |
| Casinostuen | 1.85 | 4.12 | 3.43 | 93.0% |
| 888sport | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.50 | 92.4% |
| Mr Green | 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.50 | 92.4% |
| Bet25 | 1.56 | 4.00 | 3.85 best price | 86.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.95 | 4.30 | 3.85 | 99.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.56–1.95 · 25.0% | 3.90–4.30 · 10.3% | 3.30–3.85 · 16.7% | 86.9–95.9% |
How did the Atalanta – Frosinone odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Frosinone shortened from 5.10 when odds opened on 12 Oct to 3.80 at kick-off, a 25.5% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ATALANTA | DRAW | FROSINONE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 12 Oct (open) | 1.63 | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.72 | 4.60 | 4.50 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 1.95 | 4.30 | 3.80 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 71.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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