AGF – Viborg FF odds
AGF went into the match as narrow favourites against Viborg FF.
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AGF – Viborg FF: closing odds analysis
- AGF were favourites: the closing odds implied a 40% chance of a home win, 33% for Viborg FF and 26% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: AGF 2.50 at Casinomoto, the draw 3.80 at Unibet, Viborg FF 3.00 at Casino House.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 98.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Viborg FF drifted from 2.70 at the opening to 3.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 59% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, AGF or Viborg FF?
AGF, but only just: the closing odds put 6.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on AGF – Viborg FF?
It depended on the outcome: Casinomoto was best on AGF, Unibet on the draw and Casino House on Viborg FF. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (98.1%) and Bet25 the least (86.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | AGF | DRAW | VIBORG FF | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 2.43 | 3.70 | 2.96 | 98.1% |
| Merkur Bets | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 97.0% |
| ComeOn | 2.42 | 3.72 | 2.85 | 96.8% |
| Unibet | 2.35 | 3.80 best price | 2.90 | 96.8% |
| Casinomoto | 2.50 best price | 3.50 | 2.83 | 96.2% |
| Spilhuset | 2.31 | 3.65 | 2.95 | 95.6% |
| Expekt | 2.38 | 3.65 | 2.85 | 95.6% |
| LeoVegas | 2.38 | 3.65 | 2.85 | 95.6% |
| Casino House | 2.28 | 3.60 | 3.00 best price | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 2.35 | 3.65 | 2.80 | 94.6% |
| Stake | 2.33 | 3.65 | 2.80 | 94.3% |
| bwin | 2.37 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 94.0% |
| Betoro | 2.28 | 3.60 | 2.85 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 2.33 | 3.58 | 2.75 | 93.3% |
| Casinostuen | 2.33 | 3.58 | 2.75 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 93.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 93.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 92.8% |
| Betinia | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 92.5% |
| CampoBet | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 92.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.40 | 2.69 | 90.7% |
| Betmaster | 2.29 | 3.35 | 2.70 | 90.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.13 | 3.45 | 2.50 | 86.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.50 | 3.80 | 3.00 | 100.4% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.13–2.50 · 17.4% | 3.35–3.80 · 13.4% | 2.50–3.00 · 20.0% | 86.3–98.1% |
How did the AGF – Viborg FF odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Viborg FF drifted from 2.70 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 3.00 at kick-off, a 11.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | AGF | DRAW | VIBORG FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 2.55 | 3.52 | 2.70 |
| Thu 22 Oct | 2.50 | 3.68 | 2.85 |
| Sun 25 Oct (kick-off) | 2.50 | 3.80 | 3.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.8%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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