West Ham – Southampton odds
West Ham went into the match as heavy favourites against Southampton.
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West Ham – Southampton: closing odds analysis
- West Ham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 56% chance of a home win, 21% for Southampton and 22% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: West Ham 1.72 at Betano, the draw 4.33 at SpreadEx, Southampton 4.50 at bwin.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- The closing odds implied a 61% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, West Ham or Southampton?
West Ham, by a distance: the closing odds put 35.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on West Ham – Southampton?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on West Ham, SpreadEx on the draw and bwin on Southampton. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | WEST HAM | DRAW | SOUTHAMPTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 1.68 | 4.33 | 4.50 best price | 95.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.68 | 4.33 | 4.50 best price | 95.4% |
| Betoro | 1.68 | 4.33 | 4.50 best price | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 1.68 | 4.33 | 4.50 best price | 95.4% |
| Oddset | 1.69 | 4.25 | 4.50 best price | 95.3% |
| Betano | 1.72 best price | 4.10 | 4.45 | 95.2% |
| SpreadEx | 1.67 | 4.33 best price | 4.50 best price | 95.0% |
| Stake | 1.66 | 4.30 | 4.50 best price | 94.6% |
| bwin | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.50 best price | 93.8% |
| Casinomoto | 1.64 | 4.25 | 4.50 best price | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 1.65 | 4.16 | 4.46 | 93.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.64 | 4.12 | 4.42 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 1.64 | 4.12 | 4.42 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 1.66 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 92.3% |
| Mr Green | 1.66 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 92.3% |
| Bet25 | 1.64 | 4.30 | 4.00 | 91.5% |
| VBET | 1.65 | 3.95 | 4.10 | 90.7% |
| Betmaster | 1.64 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 90.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.72 | 4.33 | 4.50 | 96.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.64–1.72 · 4.9% | 3.90–4.33 · 11.1% | 4.00–4.50 · 12.5% | 90.6–95.4% |
How did the West Ham – Southampton odds move before kick-off?
The best prices barely moved between the opening on 19 Oct and kick-off: no outcome moved more than 1.1%.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | WEST HAM | DRAW | SOUTHAMPTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 1.72 | 4.30 | 4.45 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 1.72 | 4.30 | 4.45 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 1.72 | 4.33 | 4.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 60.9%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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