Vejle BK – Aarhus Fremad odds
Vejle BK went into the match as heavy favourites against Aarhus Fremad.
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1st Half
2nd Half
Vejle BK – Aarhus Fremad: closing odds analysis
- Vejle BK were favourites: the closing odds implied a 63% chance of a home win, 16% for Aarhus Fremad and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Vejle BK 1.56 at Oddset, the draw 5.00 at Casino House, Aarhus Fremad 6.50 at VBET.
- VBET had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Aarhus Fremad drifted from 5.00 at the opening to 6.50 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance of three or more goals and 54% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Vejle BK or Aarhus Fremad?
Vejle BK, by a distance: the closing odds put 47.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Vejle BK – Aarhus Fremad?
It depended on the outcome: Oddset was best on Vejle BK, Casino House on the draw and VBET on Aarhus Fremad. Across all three outcomes VBET paid out the most (95.5%) and Mr Green the least (89.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | VEJLE BK | DRAW | AARHUS FREMAD | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VBET | 1.48 | 4.60 | 6.50 best price | 95.5% |
| Bet25 | 1.46 | 4.80 | 6.40 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 1.44 | 4.90 | 6.20 | 94.4% |
| CampoBet | 1.44 | 4.90 | 6.20 | 94.4% |
| Casinomoto | 1.44 | 4.90 | 6.20 | 94.4% |
| Betoro | 1.44 | 4.90 | 6.20 | 94.4% |
| Casino House | 1.42 | 5.00 best price | 6.00 | 93.4% |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.80 | 93.0% |
| Oddset | 1.56 best price | 4.25 | 5.00 | 92.9% |
| ComeOn | 1.44 | 4.56 | 5.94 | 92.4% |
| SpreadEx | 1.50 | 4.50 | 5.00 | 91.8% |
| Stake | 1.45 | 4.40 | 5.80 | 91.8% |
| bwin | 1.47 | 4.20 | 5.75 | 91.6% |
| GetLucky | 1.42 | 4.52 | 5.89 | 91.3% |
| Casinostuen | 1.42 | 4.52 | 5.89 | 91.3% |
| Betmaster | 1.44 | 4.30 | 5.60 | 90.5% |
| 888sport | 1.53 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 89.8% |
| Mr Green | 1.53 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 89.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.56 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 100.5% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.42–1.56 · 9.9% | 4.00–5.00 · 25.0% | 4.75–6.50 · 36.8% | 89.8–95.5% |
How did the Vejle BK – Aarhus Fremad odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Aarhus Fremad drifted from 5.00 when odds opened on 18 Oct to 6.50 at kick-off, a 30.0% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | VEJLE BK | DRAW | AARHUS FREMAD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 18 Oct (open) | 1.60 | 4.70 | 5.00 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 1.53 | 4.85 | 5.50 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 1.56 | 5.00 | 6.50 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 54.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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