Stoke City – Bristol City odds
Stoke City went into the match as narrow favourites against Bristol City.
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Stoke City – Bristol City: closing odds analysis
- Stoke City were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 32% for Bristol City and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Stoke City 2.47 at Betano, the draw 3.40 at Betinia, Bristol City 3.10 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Stoke City drifted from 2.35 at the opening to 2.47 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Stoke City or Bristol City?
Stoke City, but only just: the closing odds put 7.9 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Stoke City – Bristol City?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Stoke City, Betinia on the draw and bwin on Bristol City. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.2%) and Betmaster the least (89.9%).
| BOOKMAKER | STOKE CITY | DRAW | BRISTOL CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.47 best price | 3.30 | 2.92 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 2.36 | 3.40 best price | 3.00 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.36 | 3.40 best price | 3.00 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.36 | 3.40 best price | 3.00 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.36 | 3.40 best price | 3.00 | 95.1% |
| SpreadEx | 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 94.1% |
| Stake | 2.33 | 3.25 | 3.05 | 93.9% |
| Casinomoto | 2.36 | 3.25 | 3.00 | 93.9% |
| bwin | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 best price | 93.9% |
| ComeOn | 2.40 | 3.22 | 2.92 | 93.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.37 | 3.30 | 2.85 | 92.9% |
| GetLucky | 2.38 | 3.19 | 2.90 | 92.7% |
| Casinostuen | 2.38 | 3.19 | 2.90 | 92.7% |
| 888sport | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 91.3% |
| Mr Green | 2.40 | 3.00 | 2.90 | 91.3% |
| VBET | 2.25 | 3.08 | 3.02 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.34 | 3.05 | 2.80 | 89.9% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.47 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 97.9% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.25–2.47 · 9.8% | 3.00–3.40 · 13.3% | 2.80–3.10 · 10.7% | 89.9–95.2% |
How did the Stoke City – Bristol City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Stoke City drifted from 2.35 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 2.47 at kick-off, a 5.1% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | STOKE CITY | DRAW | BRISTOL CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 2.35 | 3.45 | 3.10 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 2.38 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 2.47 | 3.40 | 3.10 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 51.3%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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