RB Leipzig – SV Elversberg odds
RB Leipzig went into the match as heavy favourites against SV Elversberg.
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RB Leipzig – SV Elversberg: closing odds analysis
- RB Leipzig were favourites: the closing odds implied a 65% chance of a home win, 16% for SV Elversberg and 18% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: RB Leipzig 1.54 at Stake, the draw 5.55 at ComeOn, SV Elversberg 6.33 at Betinia.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on SV Elversberg shortened from 8.20 at the opening to 6.33 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 67% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, RB Leipzig or SV Elversberg?
RB Leipzig, by a distance: the closing odds put 49.0 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on RB Leipzig – SV Elversberg?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on RB Leipzig, ComeOn on the draw and Betinia on SV Elversberg. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.2%) and Bet25 the least (89.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | RB LEIPZIG | DRAW | SV ELVERSBERG | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.47 | 5.50 | 6.00 | 97.2% |
| Stake | 1.54 best price | 5.20 | 5.20 | 96.7% |
| VBET | 1.53 | 4.80 | 5.30 | 95.2% |
| ComeOn | 1.43 | 5.55 best price | 5.84 | 95.2% |
| Betinia | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.33 best price | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.33 best price | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.33 best price | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.33 best price | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.33 best price | 95.0% |
| Oddset | 1.43 | 5.50 | 5.75 | 94.8% |
| bwin | 1.53 | 5.00 | 4.80 | 94.2% |
| GetLucky | 1.41 | 5.49 | 5.79 | 94.0% |
| Casinostuen | 1.41 | 5.49 | 5.79 | 94.0% |
| 888sport | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 92.5% |
| Bet25 | 1.38 | 5.40 | 4.90 | 89.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.54 | 5.55 | 6.33 | 101.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.38–1.54 · 11.6% | 4.80–5.55 · 15.6% | 4.80–6.33 · 31.9% | 89.8–97.2% |
How did the RB Leipzig – SV Elversberg odds move before kick-off?
The best price on SV Elversberg shortened from 8.20 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 6.33 at kick-off, a 22.8% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | RB LEIPZIG | DRAW | SV ELVERSBERG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 1.34 | 6.00 | 8.20 |
| Sat 17 Oct | 1.37 | 6.70 | 8.50 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 1.54 | 5.55 | 6.33 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 67.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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