Queens Park Rangers – Swansea City odds
Queens Park Rangers went into the match as narrow favourites against Swansea City.
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Queens Park Rangers – Swansea City: closing odds analysis
- Queens Park Rangers were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 33% for Swansea City and 28% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Queens Park Rangers 2.50 at Betinia, the draw 3.40 at bwin, Swansea City 2.90 at bwin.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.4%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Swansea City drifted from 2.80 at the opening to 2.90 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance of three or more goals and 54% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Queens Park Rangers or Swansea City?
Queens Park Rangers, but only just: the closing odds put 5.4 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Queens Park Rangers – Swansea City?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Queens Park Rangers, bwin on the draw and bwin on Swansea City. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.4%) and Betmaster the least (90.3%).
| BOOKMAKER | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | DRAW | SWANSEA CITY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.50 best price | 3.40 best price | 2.82 | 95.4% |
| Betinia | 2.50 best price | 3.33 | 2.85 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.50 best price | 3.33 | 2.85 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.50 best price | 3.33 | 2.85 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.50 best price | 3.33 | 2.85 | 95.1% |
| Stake | 2.36 | 3.40 best price | 2.90 best price | 94.1% |
| bwin | 2.35 | 3.40 best price | 2.90 best price | 93.9% |
| SpreadEx | 2.40 | 3.30 | 2.90 best price | 93.9% |
| Casinomoto | 2.42 | 3.33 | 2.83 | 93.7% |
| ComeOn | 2.43 | 3.32 | 2.77 | 93.1% |
| Bet25 | 2.40 | 3.40 best price | 2.70 | 92.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.40 | 3.29 | 2.75 | 92.2% |
| Casinostuen | 2.40 | 3.29 | 2.75 | 92.2% |
| 888sport | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 92.1% |
| Mr Green | 2.40 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 92.1% |
| VBET | 2.28 | 3.23 | 2.84 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.38 | 3.15 | 2.70 | 90.3% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 96.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.28–2.50 · 9.6% | 3.15–3.40 · 7.9% | 2.70–2.90 · 7.4% | 90.3–95.4% |
How did the Queens Park Rangers – Swansea City odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Swansea City drifted from 2.80 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 2.90 at kick-off, a 3.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | QUEENS PARK RANGERS | DRAW | SWANSEA CITY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 2.57 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 54.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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