Paderborn – Hamburger SV odds
Paderborn went into the match as narrow favourites against Hamburger SV.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Corners
Cards
Paderborn – Hamburger SV: closing odds analysis
- Paderborn were favourites: the closing odds implied a 41% chance of a home win, 33% for Hamburger SV and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Paderborn 2.45 at Betano, the draw 3.80 at Stake, Hamburger SV 3.20 at Stake.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.7%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Hamburger SV drifted from 2.85 at the opening to 3.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Paderborn or Hamburger SV?
Paderborn, but only just: the closing odds put 8.2 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Paderborn – Hamburger SV?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Paderborn, Stake on the draw and Stake on Hamburger SV. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.7%) and Bet25 the least (90.8%).
| BOOKMAKER | PADERBORN | DRAW | HAMBURGER SV | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.45 best price | 3.70 | 2.90 | 97.7% |
| Stake | 2.15 | 3.80 best price | 3.20 best price | 96.1% |
| Betinia | 2.37 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 2.37 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 95.3% |
| Casinomoto | 2.37 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 2.37 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.37 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 95.3% |
| VBET | 2.17 | 3.63 | 3.19 | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 2.41 | 3.60 | 2.80 | 95.3% |
| ComeOn | 2.40 | 3.57 | 2.77 | 94.5% |
| GetLucky | 2.37 | 3.53 | 2.75 | 93.6% |
| Casinostuen | 2.37 | 3.53 | 2.75 | 93.6% |
| bwin | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 93.5% |
| 888sport | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 92.2% |
| Bet25 | 2.30 | 3.55 | 2.60 | 90.8% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.45 | 3.80 | 3.20 | 101.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.10–2.45 · 16.7% | 3.40–3.80 · 11.8% | 2.60–3.20 · 23.1% | 90.8–97.7% |
How did the Paderborn – Hamburger SV odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Hamburger SV drifted from 2.85 when odds opened on 11 Oct to 3.20 at kick-off, a 12.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | PADERBORN | DRAW | HAMBURGER SV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 11 Oct (open) | 2.30 | 3.90 | 2.85 |
| Sat 17 Oct | 2.40 | 3.75 | 2.95 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 2.45 | 3.80 | 3.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 63.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
More Bundesliga odds
- Bayern Munich – 1. FC KölnFri 20 Nov · 20:30
- Bayer Leverkusen – PaderbornSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Borussia Mönchengladbach – Borussia DortmundSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Eintracht Frankfurt – HoffenheimSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- SV Elversberg – FreiburgSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Union Berlin – RB LeipzigSat 21 Nov · 15:30
- Schalke 04 – StuttgartSat 21 Nov · 18:30
- Augsburg – Mainz 05Sun 22 Nov · 15:30
- Werder Bremen – Hamburger SVSun 22 Nov · 17:30
- Bundesliga odds ›
The odds imply probabilities; they are not predictions. OddsStat is a comparison service, not a bookmaker. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.