Lincoln City – Burnley odds
Lincoln City and Burnley went into the match almost level in the odds.
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Lincoln City – Burnley: closing odds analysis
- No clear favourite: the closing odds implied 34% for Lincoln City, 28% for a draw and 38% for Burnley.
- Best closing odds: Lincoln City 2.80 at 888sport, the draw 3.50 at bwin, Burnley 2.55 at Betano.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Burnley drifted from 2.37 at the opening to 2.55 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 51% chance of three or more goals and 55% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lincoln City or Burnley?
Neither side, really: the closing odds put only 3.6 percentage points between Lincoln City and Burnley.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lincoln City – Burnley?
It depended on the outcome: 888sport was best on Lincoln City, bwin on the draw and Betano on Burnley. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (95.5%) and Betmaster the least (90.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | LINCOLN CITY | DRAW | BURNLEY | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.40 | 2.55 best price | 95.5% |
| Betinia | 2.75 | 3.50 best price | 2.50 | 95.3% |
| CampoBet | 2.75 | 3.50 best price | 2.50 | 95.3% |
| Betoro | 2.75 | 3.50 best price | 2.50 | 95.3% |
| Casino House | 2.75 | 3.50 best price | 2.50 | 95.3% |
| SpreadEx | 2.70 | 3.50 best price | 2.50 | 94.7% |
| Stake | 2.75 | 3.45 | 2.48 | 94.6% |
| Oddset | 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 94.5% |
| bwin | 2.75 | 3.50 best price | 2.40 | 93.8% |
| ComeOn | 2.67 | 3.42 | 2.48 | 93.4% |
| Bet25 | 2.65 | 3.45 | 2.43 | 92.7% |
| GetLucky | 2.65 | 3.39 | 2.45 | 92.5% |
| Casinostuen | 2.65 | 3.39 | 2.45 | 92.5% |
| 888sport | 2.80 best price | 3.25 | 2.40 | 92.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.80 best price | 3.25 | 2.40 | 92.5% |
| VBET | 2.67 | 3.29 | 2.38 | 91.0% |
| Betmaster | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.42 | 90.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.55 | 96.6% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.60–2.80 · 7.7% | 3.20–3.50 · 9.4% | 2.38–2.55 · 7.1% | 90.1–95.5% |
How did the Lincoln City – Burnley odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Burnley drifted from 2.37 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 2.55 at kick-off, a 7.6% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LINCOLN CITY | DRAW | BURNLEY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.37 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.37 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.55 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 55.1%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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