Lens – Paris FC odds
Lens went into the match as narrow favourites against Paris FC.
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Lens – Paris FC: closing odds analysis
- Lens were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of a home win, 34% for Paris FC and 27% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Lens 2.54 at Betinia, the draw 3.65 at Stake, Paris FC 3.07 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Lens drifted from 2.09 at the opening to 2.54 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 58% chance of three or more goals and 62% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Lens or Paris FC?
Lens, but only just: the closing odds put 5.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Lens – Paris FC?
It depended on the outcome: Betinia was best on Lens, Stake on the draw and VBET on Paris FC. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.5%) and Bet25 the least (90.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | LENS | DRAW | PARIS FC | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 2.33 | 3.65 best price | 3.00 | 96.5% |
| VBET | 2.35 | 3.47 | 3.07 best price | 96.2% |
| Betinia | 2.54 best price | 3.40 | 2.75 | 95.1% |
| CampoBet | 2.54 best price | 3.40 | 2.75 | 95.1% |
| Casinomoto | 2.54 best price | 3.40 | 2.75 | 95.1% |
| Betoro | 2.54 best price | 3.40 | 2.75 | 95.1% |
| Casino House | 2.54 best price | 3.40 | 2.75 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 2.41 | 3.55 | 2.80 | 94.9% |
| SpreadEx | 2.45 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 94.4% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.95 | 94.2% |
| ComeOn | 2.39 | 3.52 | 2.77 | 94.0% |
| GetLucky | 2.37 | 3.48 | 2.75 | 93.2% |
| Casinostuen | 2.37 | 3.48 | 2.75 | 93.2% |
| Betmaster | 2.39 | 3.35 | 2.80 | 93.1% |
| 888sport | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 | 91.5% |
| Mr Green | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 | 91.5% |
| Bet25 | 2.25 | 3.55 | 2.65 | 90.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 2.54 | 3.65 | 3.07 | 100.7% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.25–2.54 · 12.9% | 3.30–3.65 · 10.6% | 2.62–3.07 · 17.2% | 90.6–96.5% |
How did the Lens – Paris FC odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Lens drifted from 2.09 when odds opened on 13 Oct to 2.54 at kick-off, a 21.5% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | LENS | DRAW | PARIS FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 13 Oct (open) | 2.09 | 3.75 | 3.40 |
| Sun 18 Oct | 2.24 | 3.75 | 3.20 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 2.54 | 3.65 | 3.07 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Three or more goals was priced as more likely than not. Both teams to score was priced at 62.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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