Esbjerg fB – FC Fredericia odds
FC Fredericia went into the match as heavy favourites against Esbjerg fB.
Full Time
1st Half
2nd Half
Esbjerg fB – FC Fredericia: closing odds analysis
- FC Fredericia were favourites: the closing odds implied a 61% chance of an away win, 18% for Esbjerg fB and 21% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Esbjerg fB 5.60 at VBET, the draw 4.80 at Bet25, FC Fredericia 1.56 at Oddset.
- Bet25 had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.5%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Esbjerg fB drifted from 4.20 at the opening to 5.60 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 62% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Esbjerg fB or FC Fredericia?
FC Fredericia, by a distance: the closing odds put 43.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Esbjerg fB – FC Fredericia?
It depended on the outcome: VBET was best on Esbjerg fB, Bet25 on the draw and Oddset on FC Fredericia. Across all three outcomes Bet25 paid out the most (95.5%) and Mr Green the least (89.6%).
| BOOKMAKER | ESBJERG FB | DRAW | FC FREDERICIA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet25 | 5.40 | 4.80 best price | 1.53 | 95.5% |
| VBET | 5.60 best price | 4.60 | 1.53 | 95.3% |
| Betinia | 5.35 | 4.55 | 1.53 | 94.3% |
| CampoBet | 5.35 | 4.55 | 1.53 | 94.3% |
| Casinomoto | 5.35 | 4.55 | 1.53 | 94.3% |
| Betoro | 5.35 | 4.55 | 1.53 | 94.3% |
| Oddset | 5.00 | 4.50 | 1.56 best price | 94.1% |
| Casino House | 5.00 | 4.75 | 1.52 | 93.6% |
| SpreadEx | 5.25 | 4.50 | 1.50 | 92.6% |
| ComeOn | 5.15 | 4.56 | 1.50 | 92.6% |
| bwin | 4.80 | 4.33 | 1.53 | 91.5% |
| GetLucky | 5.10 | 4.52 | 1.48 | 91.5% |
| Casinostuen | 5.10 | 4.52 | 1.48 | 91.5% |
| Stake | 4.80 | 4.40 | 1.52 | 91.4% |
| Betmaster | 4.80 | 4.30 | 1.50 | 90.3% |
| 888sport | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 89.6% |
| Mr Green | 5.00 | 4.00 | 1.50 | 89.6% |
| BEST PRICE | 5.60 | 4.80 | 1.56 | 97.3% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 4.80–5.60 · 16.7% | 4.00–4.80 · 20.0% | 1.48–1.56 · 5.4% | 89.6–95.5% |
How did the Esbjerg fB – FC Fredericia odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Esbjerg fB drifted from 4.20 when odds opened on 17 Oct to 5.60 at kick-off, a 33.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ESBJERG FB | DRAW | FC FREDERICIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 17 Oct (open) | 4.20 | 4.10 | 1.69 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 5.30 | 4.75 | 1.61 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 5.60 | 4.80 | 1.56 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 62.4%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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