Como – Sassuolo odds
Como went into the match as heavy favourites against Sassuolo.
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Como – Sassuolo: closing odds analysis
- Como were favourites: the closing odds implied a 63% chance of a home win, 17% for Sassuolo and 19% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Como 1.52 at Betmaster, the draw 5.20 at Stake, Sassuolo 6.60 at VBET.
- Stake had the highest closing payout on the match result: 96.1%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 6.20 at the opening to 5.20 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 60% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Como or Sassuolo?
Como, by a distance: the closing odds put 46.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Como – Sassuolo?
It depended on the outcome: Betmaster was best on Como, Stake on the draw and VBET on Sassuolo. Across all three outcomes Stake paid out the most (96.1%) and Bet25 the least (88.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | COMO | DRAW | SASSUOLO | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stake | 1.48 | 5.20 best price | 5.80 | 96.1% |
| VBET | 1.45 | 4.80 | 6.60 best price | 95.3% |
| Oddset | 1.51 | 5.00 | 5.25 | 95.0% |
| bwin | 1.47 | 5.00 | 5.75 | 94.9% |
| Betinia | 1.50 | 5.00 | 5.33 | 94.9% |
| CampoBet | 1.50 | 5.00 | 5.33 | 94.9% |
| Casinomoto | 1.50 | 5.00 | 5.33 | 94.9% |
| Betoro | 1.50 | 5.00 | 5.33 | 94.9% |
| Casino House | 1.50 | 5.00 | 5.33 | 94.9% |
| ComeOn | 1.51 | 4.85 | 5.25 | 94.4% |
| Betmaster | 1.52 best price | 4.60 | 5.20 | 93.7% |
| GetLucky | 1.49 | 4.81 | 5.20 | 93.3% |
| Casinostuen | 1.49 | 4.81 | 5.20 | 93.3% |
| 888sport | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.50 | 90.6% |
| Mr Green | 1.44 | 4.40 | 5.50 | 90.6% |
| Bet25 | 1.38 | 4.60 | 5.20 | 88.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.60 | 99.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.38–1.52 · 10.1% | 4.40–5.20 · 18.2% | 5.20–6.60 · 26.9% | 88.2–96.1% |
How did the Como – Sassuolo odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 6.20 when odds opened on 16 Oct to 5.20 at kick-off, a 16.1% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | COMO | DRAW | SASSUOLO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 16 Oct (open) | 1.45 | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| Tue 20 Oct | 1.48 | 6.20 | 6.70 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 1.52 | 5.20 | 6.20 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 59.5%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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