Blackburn Rovers – Wrexham odds
Wrexham went into the match as narrow favourites against Blackburn Rovers.
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Blackburn Rovers – Wrexham: closing odds analysis
- Wrexham were favourites: the closing odds implied a 39% chance of an away win, 32% for Blackburn Rovers and 29% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Blackburn Rovers 3.00 at Stake, the draw 3.33 at Betinia, Wrexham 2.60 at Casinomoto.
- Betinia had the highest closing payout on the match result: 95.2%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Blackburn Rovers drifted from 2.77 at the opening to 3.00 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 46% chance of three or more goals and 52% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Blackburn Rovers or Wrexham?
Wrexham, but only just: the closing odds put 6.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Blackburn Rovers – Wrexham?
It depended on the outcome: Stake was best on Blackburn Rovers, Betinia on the draw and Casinomoto on Wrexham. Across all three outcomes Betinia paid out the most (95.2%) and Betmaster the least (90.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | BLACKBURN ROVERS | DRAW | WREXHAM | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betinia | 3.00 best price | 3.33 best price | 2.40 | 95.2% |
| CampoBet | 3.00 best price | 3.33 best price | 2.40 | 95.2% |
| Betoro | 3.00 best price | 3.33 best price | 2.40 | 95.2% |
| Casino House | 3.00 best price | 3.33 best price | 2.40 | 95.2% |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.30 | 2.47 | 95.2% |
| SpreadEx | 3.00 best price | 3.25 | 2.40 | 94.5% |
| Oddset | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.45 | 94.3% |
| Stake | 3.00 best price | 3.30 | 2.34 | 94.0% |
| bwin | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.35 | 93.7% |
| Casinomoto | 2.71 | 3.14 | 2.60 best price | 93.3% |
| ComeOn | 2.87 | 3.22 | 2.41 | 93.1% |
| Bet25 | 2.85 | 3.30 | 2.38 | 93.1% |
| GetLucky | 2.85 | 3.19 | 2.39 | 92.4% |
| Casinostuen | 2.85 | 3.19 | 2.39 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 2.90 | 3.10 | 2.40 | 92.2% |
| VBET | 2.90 | 3.14 | 2.29 | 90.9% |
| Betmaster | 2.80 | 3.05 | 2.36 | 90.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 3.00 | 3.33 | 2.60 | 98.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 2.71–3.00 · 10.7% | 3.05–3.33 · 9.2% | 2.29–2.60 · 13.5% | 90.2–95.2% |
How did the Blackburn Rovers – Wrexham odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Blackburn Rovers drifted from 2.77 when odds opened on 19 Oct to 3.00 at kick-off, a 8.3% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | BLACKBURN ROVERS | DRAW | WREXHAM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon 19 Oct (open) | 2.77 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Wed 21 Oct | 2.77 | 3.25 | 2.67 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 3.00 | 3.33 | 2.47 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 52.2%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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