Atlético Madrid – Deportivo La Coruña odds
Atlético Madrid went into the match as heavy favourites against Deportivo La Coruña.
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Atlético Madrid – Deportivo La Coruña: closing odds analysis
- Atlético Madrid were favourites: the closing odds implied a 75% chance of a home win, 10% for Deportivo La Coruña and 16% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Atlético Madrid 1.32 at Betano, the draw 6.80 at Stake, Deportivo La Coruña 12.00 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.6%.
- Odds movement: the best price on the draw shortened from 10.00 at the opening to 6.80 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 49% chance that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Atlético Madrid or Deportivo La Coruña?
Atlético Madrid, by a distance: the closing odds put 65.1 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Atlético Madrid – Deportivo La Coruña?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Atlético Madrid, Stake on the draw and VBET on Deportivo La Coruña. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.6%) and Bet25 the least (91.1%).
| BOOKMAKER | ATLÉTICO MADRID | DRAW | DEPORTIVO LA CORUÑA | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.32 best price | 5.90 | 10.25 | 97.6% |
| Stake | 1.25 | 6.80 best price | 11.00 | 96.3% |
| VBET | 1.25 | 6.40 | 12.00 best price | 96.2% |
| bwin | 1.27 | 6.25 | 10.00 | 95.5% |
| ComeOn | 1.28 | 6.09 | 9.71 | 95.4% |
| Casino House | 1.27 | 5.75 | 11.00 | 95.0% |
| GetLucky | 1.27 | 6.03 | 9.62 | 94.6% |
| Casinostuen | 1.27 | 6.03 | 9.62 | 94.6% |
| Betmaster | 1.29 | 5.60 | 8.80 | 93.7% |
| Oddset | 1.21 | 6.25 | 10.50 | 92.4% |
| 888sport | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.50 | 92.0% |
| Mr Green | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.50 | 92.0% |
| Bet25 | 1.25 | 5.80 | 8.00 | 91.1% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.32 | 6.80 | 12.00 | 101.2% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.21–1.32 · 9.1% | 5.50–6.80 · 23.6% | 8.00–12.00 · 50.0% | 91.1–97.6% |
How did the Atlético Madrid – Deportivo La Coruña odds move before kick-off?
The best price on the draw shortened from 10.00 when odds opened on 14 Oct to 6.80 at kick-off, a 32.0% drop.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ATLÉTICO MADRID | DRAW | DEPORTIVO LA CORUÑA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 14 Oct (open) | 1.26 | 10.00 | 13.50 |
| Mon 19 Oct | 1.28 | 11.25 | 11.75 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 1.32 | 6.80 | 12.00 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
Both teams to score was priced at 48.7%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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