Arsenal – Everton odds
Arsenal went into the match as heavy favourites against Everton.
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Arsenal – Everton: closing odds analysis
- Arsenal were favourites: the closing odds implied a 67% chance of a home win, 13% for Everton and 20% for a draw.
- Best closing odds: Arsenal 1.45 at Betano, the draw 5.40 at Stake, Everton 9.30 at VBET.
- Betano had the highest closing payout on the match result: 97.3%.
- Odds movement: the best price on Everton drifted from 7.80 at the opening to 9.30 at kick-off.
- The closing odds implied a 54% chance of three or more goals and 47% that both teams score.
Who were the favourites, Arsenal or Everton?
Arsenal, by a distance: the closing odds put 54.8 percentage points between the two sides.
Which bookmaker had the best closing odds on Arsenal – Everton?
It depended on the outcome: Betano was best on Arsenal, Stake on the draw and VBET on Everton. Across all three outcomes Betano paid out the most (97.3%) and Mr Green the least (92.2%).
| BOOKMAKER | ARSENAL | DRAW | EVERTON | PAYOUT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.45 best price | 4.80 | 7.70 | 97.3% |
| Stake | 1.37 | 5.40 best price | 8.20 | 96.4% |
| VBET | 1.34 | 5.30 | 9.30 best price | 95.9% |
| SpreadEx | 1.40 | 4.75 | 8.00 | 95.3% |
| bwin | 1.36 | 5.25 | 8.00 | 95.2% |
| Bet25 | 1.41 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 95.1% |
| Oddset | 1.42 | 4.75 | 7.25 | 95.0% |
| Casino House | 1.45 best price | 4.20 | 8.00 | 95.0% |
| Betinia | 1.41 | 4.75 | 7.50 | 95.0% |
| CampoBet | 1.41 | 4.75 | 7.50 | 95.0% |
| Casinomoto | 1.41 | 4.75 | 7.50 | 95.0% |
| Betoro | 1.41 | 4.75 | 7.50 | 95.0% |
| ComeOn | 1.42 | 4.66 | 7.13 | 94.4% |
| GetLucky | 1.40 | 4.61 | 7.07 | 93.2% |
| Casinostuen | 1.40 | 4.61 | 7.07 | 93.2% |
| Betmaster | 1.42 | 4.50 | 6.80 | 93.2% |
| 888sport | 1.40 | 4.40 | 7.00 | 92.2% |
| Mr Green | 1.40 | 4.40 | 7.00 | 92.2% |
| BEST PRICE | 1.45 | 5.40 | 9.30 | 101.8% |
| SPREAD, LOW TO HIGH | 1.34–1.45 · 8.2% | 4.20–5.40 · 28.6% | 6.80–9.30 · 36.8% | 92.2–97.3% |
How did the Arsenal – Everton odds move before kick-off?
The best price on Everton drifted from 7.80 when odds opened on 10 Oct to 9.30 at kick-off, a 19.2% rise.
DATA
| BEST PRICE AT | ARSENAL | DRAW | EVERTON |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10 Oct (open) | 1.44 | 4.75 | 7.80 |
| Sat 17 Oct | 1.44 | 7.70 | 9.25 |
| Sat 24 Oct (kick-off) | 1.45 | 5.40 | 9.30 |
How many goals did the odds expect?
The closing odds were close to an even split on three or more goals. Both teams to score was priced at 47.0%.
How we calculate
Implied probability is 1 ÷ decimal odds. A bookmaker's match-result probabilities add up to more than 100%; the excess is its margin. We remove each bookmaker's margin proportionally and average the result across every bookmaker that prices all three outcomes.
Payout is 1 ÷ (1/odds₁ + 1/odds₂ + 1/odds₃): the share of all stakes a bookmaker would return across every outcome. Best-price payout uses the highest price on each outcome, wherever it is offered. Prices more than 48 hours old are left out while fresher ones exist.
Odds movement follows the best price on each outcome from the moment at least three bookmakers priced the match, sampled daily.
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